Result
3:4 penalties
27/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 12:48, 1 - 0, Rulikov N. (G),
- 18:25, 1 - 1, Richard M. (G), Timokhin A. (A), Kovalchuk I. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 10:46, 1 - 2, Kharitonov A. (G), Vereshchagin G. (A), Ptashnikov M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 07:58, 2 - 2, Roshchin V. (G), Boryasov S. (A),
- 11:37, 2 - 3, Zubakov D. (G), Timokhin A. (A),
- 16:36, 3 - 3, Grushin Y. (G),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Tikhostup A. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Butenko I. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Nikiforov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Vereshchagin G. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Matveyev D. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Zarechnev I. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Matveyev D. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Kharitonov A. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Roshchin V. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Richard M. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Tambov
52.8% | Draw
21.7% | Lipetsk
25.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Tambov - Lipetsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↑
(1.72) |
4.2
(4.2) |
3.58 ↓
(3.6) |
9.8%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 5.
- Tambov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lipetsk has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Lipetsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tambov is considered a favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 79:36. (average 4.2:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 40:18. (average 4.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tambov won against Lipetsk?
Tambov has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lipetsk won against Tambov?
Lipetsk has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tambov - Lipetsk were as follows:
26.01.2026
Tambov
-
Lipetsk
2:1
07.12.2025
Lipetsk
-
Tambov
1:4
06.12.2025
Lipetsk
-
Tambov
2:3
09.03.2025
Tambov
-
Lipetsk
8:2
08.03.2025
Tambov
-
Lipetsk
6:2
Latest results of Lipetsk
NMHL Table
2025/26Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | MHK Ryazan ✔ | 39 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 157:61 | 74 |
| 2 | Dizelist ✔ | 40 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 136:84 | 60 |
| 3 | Yermak Angarsk ✔ | 37 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 165:76 | 60 |
| 4 | Bobrov | 40 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 158:99 | 52 |
| 5 | Sokol Novocheboksarsk | 40 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 132:107 | 49 |
| 6 | Kristall BDK | 40 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 114:104 | 47 |
| 7 | Progress Glazov | 39 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 107:129 | 39 |
| 8 | HC Krasnodar | 39 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 116:128 | 39 |
| 9 | HK Samara | 42 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 117:133 | 39 |
| 10 | Proton | 40 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 104:127 | 34 |
| 11 | Tambov | 40 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 85:128 | 29 |
| 12 | Lipetsk | 40 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 74:148 | 23 |
| 13 | Belgorod | 40 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 73:214 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Buran Moscow ✔ | 42 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 202:70 | 75 |
| 2 | Granit ✔ | 38 | 24 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 139:89 | 59 |
| 3 | Kaluga ✔ | 39 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 163:82 | 56 |
| 4 | Dinamo 576 ✔ | 37 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 131:90 | 54 |
| 5 | Metallurg Cherepovets ✔ | 38 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 131:109 | 53 |
| 6 | Polot | 40 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 147:143 | 49 |
| 7 | Fakel | 40 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 110:131 | 44 |
| 8 | Voevoda Podolsk | 39 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 105:117 | 43 |
| 9 | Arktika | 43 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 97:148 | 34 |
| 10 | Bryansk | 40 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 119:144 | 33 |
| 11 | Tayfun | 41 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 95:160 | 26 |
| 12 | Tverichi | 39 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 77:159 | 18 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 36 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 26 | 83:157 | 16 |
Promotion ~ NMHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
MHK Ryazan is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dizelist is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Yermak Angarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Buran Moscow is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kaluga is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dinamo 576 is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Metallurg Cherepovets is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
