Tambov vs Lipetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 penalties
27/01/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NMHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 12:48, 1 - 0, Rulikov N. (G),
  • 18:25, 1 - 1, Richard M. (G), Timokhin A. (A), Kovalchuk I. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 10:46, 1 - 2, Kharitonov A. (G), Vereshchagin G. (A), Ptashnikov M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 07:58, 2 - 2, Roshchin V. (G), Boryasov S. (A),
  • 11:37, 2 - 3, Zubakov D. (G), Timokhin A. (A),
  • 16:36, 3 - 3, Grushin Y. (G),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (1 - 2)
  • 1, Tikhostup A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Butenko I. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Nikiforov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Vereshchagin G. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Matveyev D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Zarechnev I. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Matveyev D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Kharitonov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Roshchin V. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Richard M. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Tambov
52.8%
Draw
21.7%
Lipetsk
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 21.7% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 21.6% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Tambov - Lipetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (1.72)
    4.2
    (4.2)
    3.58
    (3.6)
    9.8%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 5.
    • Tambov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Lipetsk has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Lipetsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Tambov is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 79:36. (average 4.2:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 40:18. (average 4.4:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tambov - Lipetsk were as follows:
    26.01.2026 Tambov - Lipetsk 2:1
    07.12.2025 Lipetsk - Tambov 1:4
    06.12.2025 Lipetsk - Tambov 2:3
    09.03.2025 Tambov - Lipetsk 8:2
    08.03.2025 Tambov - Lipetsk 6:2
    Latest results of Tambov
    26.01.2026 Tambov - Lipetsk 2:1
    15.01.2026 Progress Glazov - Tambov 4:3
    14.01.2026 Progress Glazov - Tambov 3:1
    Latest results of Lipetsk
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1MHK Ryazan (1)HC Krasnodar (8)3 : 0
    2Dizelist (3)Kristall BDK (6)0 : 3
    3Yermak Angarsk (2)Progress Glazov (7)3 : 1
    4Bobrov (4)Sokol Novocheboksarsk (5)3 : 0
    5Buran Moscow (1)Fakel (8)3 : 0
    6Dinamo 576 (4)Metallurg Cherepovets (5)0 : 3
    7Kaluga (2)Voevoda Podolsk (7)3 : 0
    8Granit (3)Polot (6)3 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1MHK Ryazan (1)Kristall BDK (6)2 : 0
    2Yermak Angarsk (2)Bobrov (4)1 : 1
    3Buran Moscow (1)Metallurg Cherepovets (5)0 : 2
    4Kaluga (2)Granit (3)1 : 1