Result
2:0
08/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Mexico | AYM Sports |
Usa | Latin American Sports TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', Yanez S. 🟨,
- 33', Razo L. 🟨,
- 40', Reyes J. 🟥,
- 45+6', 1 - 0, Pedroza M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Coronel O. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
- 46', Gonzalez Rodriguez W. ↓, Ruiz L. ↑,
- 48', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 55', Flores S. 🟨,
- 56', Clemente J. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
- 56', Escoboza A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 59', Vazquez O. ↓, Osuna D. ↑,
- 66', Perez O. ↓, Bocco L. ↑,
- 66', Razo L. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 68', Egana A. 🟨,
- 76', Pedroza M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 76', Galicia C. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
- 76', Garcia L. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
- 78', Egana A. 🟨,
- 79', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
Chances of winning
Jaiba Brava 72.8% | Draw 17.7% | Dorados 9.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-28.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaiba Brava that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dorados could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Jaiba Brava - Dorados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.27 ↓ (1.3) |
5.19 ↓ (5.27) |
9.77 ↑ (8.96) |
8.6% (7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 4.
- Jaiba Brava has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Dorados is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Jaiba Brava is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Dorados?
Jaiba Brava has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Jaiba Brava?
Dorados has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaiba Brava - Dorados were as follows:
27.09.2025
Dorados
-
Jaiba Brava
2:3
22.03.2025
Dorados
-
Jaiba Brava
0:1
22.10.2024
Jaiba Brava
-
Dorados
4:3
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Latest results of Dorados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)