Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Perez E. ⚽,
- 17', 0 - 2, Pedroza M. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 2, Galicia C. ⚽, Vargas L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Dominguez R. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 57', Sol M. 🟨,
- 59', Egana A. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
- 60', Peralta J. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
- 61', Pedroza M. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Vargas L. (Pen),
- 78', Escoboza A. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 78', Perez E. ↓, Villa R. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 80', Vargas L. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
- 80', Sol M. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 3, Flores S. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
- 83', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 87', Flores A. ↓, Bonilla E. ↑,
- 88', Yanez S. ↓, Araujo D. ↑,
- 90+7', Clemente J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Dorados
15.9% | Draw
22.6% | Jaiba Brava
61.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Dorados - Jaiba Brava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.08 ↑
(3.98) |
4.28 ↑
(3.52) |
1.57 ↓
(1.85) |
3.4%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dorados - Jaiba Brava?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jaiba Brava (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jaiba Brava will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 0.
- Dorados has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jaiba Brava is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Jaiba Brava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jaiba Brava is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Jaiba Brava will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Jaiba Brava?
Dorados has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Dorados?
Jaiba Brava has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorados - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
22.03.2025
Dorados
-
Jaiba Brava
0:1
22.10.2024
Jaiba Brava
-
Dorados
4:3
Latest results of Dorados
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun ✔ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:5 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Atlante ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:9 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Tampico Madero ✔ | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Leones Negros | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Atl. Morelia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Venados | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:28 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 |
| 12 | Tapatio | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
