Result
2:3
27/09/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 0 - 1, Perez E. ⚽,
- 17', 0 - 2, Pedroza M. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 2, Galicia C. ⚽, Vargas L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Dominguez R. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
- 57', Sol M. 🟨,
- 59', Egana A. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
- 60', Peralta J. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
- 61', Pedroza M. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Vargas L. (Pen),
- 78', Escoboza A. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 78', Perez E. ↓, Villa R. ↑,
- 79', 🟨,
- 80', Vargas L. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
- 80', Sol M. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 3, Flores S. ⚽, Torres E. (A),
- 83', Martinez F. 🟨,
- 87', Flores A. ↓, Bonilla E. ↑,
- 88', Yanez S. ↓, Araujo D. ↑,
- 90+7', Clemente J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Dorados
15.9% | Draw
22.6% | Jaiba Brava
61.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dorados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dorados's form might have worsened.Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaiba Brava's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorados than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dorados, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-11.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaiba Brava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dorados - Jaiba Brava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.08 ↑
(3.98) |
4.28 ↑
(3.52) |
1.57 ↓
(1.85) |
3.4%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Dorados - Jaiba Brava?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jaiba Brava (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jaiba Brava will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 0.
- Dorados has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Jaiba Brava is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Jaiba Brava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Jaiba Brava is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Jaiba Brava will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Dorados won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dorados won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Dorados won against Jaiba Brava?
Dorados has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Dorados?
Jaiba Brava has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dorados - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
22.03.2025
Dorados
-
Jaiba Brava
0:1
22.10.2024
Jaiba Brava
-
Dorados
4:3
Latest results of Dorados
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
