Tanzania vs Madagascar, African Nations Championship – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football African Nations Championship Tanzania - Madagascar
Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • African Nations Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 1, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
cameroonCameroonMedia Sport Info
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
ghanaGhanaGTV Sports Plus
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kenyaKenyaGotv, KBC Channel 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarMATV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ugandaUgandaFUFA TV, UBC TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.59
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
78% (295/379)78% (329/423)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.630.59
xG on target (xGOT)
1.820.93
Total shots
1412
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
93
Shots outside the Box
59
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1614
Passes
78% (295/379)78% (329/423)
Long passes
46% (32/70)32% (12/37)
Passes in final third
61% (54/89)62% (63/101)
Crosses
18% (4/22)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.350.66
Throw-ins
2019
Fouls
1517
Tackles
76% (13/17)90% (9/10)
Duels won
6247
Clearances
1922
Interceptions
74
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.931.82
Goals prevented
-0.07-0.18

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Mzize C. ,
  • 20', Hamza A. , Khamis S. ,
  • 20', 2 - 0, Mzize C. , Salum F. (A),
  • 34', 2 - 1, Razafimahatana M. , Rafanomezantsoa L. C. (A),
  • 36', Razafimahatana M. 🟨,
  • 40', Razafimahatana M. , Razafimaro F. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Nado I. S. , Msindo P. ,
  • 59', Khamis S. , Hamoud N. S. ,
  • 76', Ranaivoson J. , Hasinirina O. ,
  • 76', Rabemananjara R. , Manohantsoa F. ,
  • 84', Rafanomezantsoa L. C. , Randrianantenaina H. ,
  • 90+3', Mzize C. , Mwaikenda L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tanzania
51.9%
Draw
30.5%
Madagascar
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 32.8% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tanzania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tanzania's performance.
  • Madagascar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Madagascar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Tanzania - Madagascar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.35)
    3.12
    (2.91)
    5.22
    (3.61)
    5.4%
    (4.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Tanzania - Madagascar?
  • Users Predictions: Tanzania will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.47%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tanzania will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Madagascar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tanzania is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tanzania won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tanzania - Madagascar were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Tanzania - Madagascar 0:1
    Latest results of Tanzania
    06.08.2025 Mauritania - Tanzania 0:1
    02.08.2025 Tanzania - Burkina Faso 2:0
    11.06.2025 Eswatini - Tanzania 1:2
    07.06.2025 Tanzania - Madagascar 0:1
    06.06.2025 South Africa - Tanzania 0:0
    Latest results of Madagascar
    03.08.2025 Madagascar - Mauritania 0:0
    15.06.2025 Madagascar - Comoros 0:1
    13.06.2025 Angola - Madagascar 4:1
    09.06.2025 Madagascar - Eswatini 1:1
    08.06.2025 D.R. Congo - Madagascar 3:1
    Draw
    Final tournament

    Quarter-finals
    1Kenya (A1)Madagascar (B2)1 : 2
    2Sudan (D1)Algeria (C2)2 : 1
    3Tanzania (B1)Morocco (A2)0 : 1
    4Uganda (C1)Senegal (D2)0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Madagascar (B2)Sudan (D1)1 : 0
    2Morocco (A2)Senegal (D2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Madagascar (B2)Morocco (A2)2 : 3

    3rd place
    2Sudan (D1)Senegal (D2)1 : 2