Tanzania vs Tunisia, Africa Cup of Nations – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Africa Cup of Nations
Result
1:1
30/12/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Africa Cup of Nations - Round 3
  • Referee: Ndala J. (Drc)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAfroSport TV Africa, CANAL+ CAN, CANAL+ Sport 1, DStv Now, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
angolaAngolaTPA 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4, beIN Sports MENA Max 4
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
beninBeninBenin TV
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
burkina-fasoBurkina-fasoRTB
cameroonCameroonCanal 2 International, CRTV Sports, Equinoxe, Media Sport Info
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
equatorial-guineaEquatorial-guineaTVGE Internacional
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
gabonGabonGroupe Gabon Televisions
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2
greeceGreeceERT 2, ERT Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
israelIsrael5 GOLD Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
laosLaosbeIN Connect
madagascarMadagascarMATV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maliMaliORTM
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga
norwayNorwayVG+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
portugalPortugalSport TV3
republic-of-the-congoRepublic-of-the-congoTele Congo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
togoTogoTVT
tunisiaTunisiaWatania 1
turkeyTurkeyExxen
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
zambiaZambiaZNBC 1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.171.00
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
66
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
22
Passes
71% (206/291)84% (429/510)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.171.00
xG on target (xGOT)
0.200.92
Total shots
66
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
01
Shots inside the Box
34
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
22
Touches in opposition box
316
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
149
Passes
71% (206/291)84% (429/510)
Long passes
34% (21/62)46% (19/41)
Passes in final third
52% (33/64)67% (72/107)
Crosses
33% (2/6)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.190.62
Throw-ins
2327
Fouls
914
Tackles
60% (12/20)41% (7/17)
Duels won
4660
Clearances
2516
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.920.20
Goals prevented
-0.08-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 31', Valery Y. 🟨,
  • 41', Hamad I. 🟨,
  • 43', 0 - 1, Gharbi I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Samatta A. ↓, Suleiman A. ↑,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Salum F. ⚽, Miroshi N. (A),
  • 52', Achouri E. ↓, Sassi F. ↑,
  • 57', Mwamnyeto B. 🟨,
  • 59', Msuva S. 🟨,
  • 64', Tounekti S. ↓, Sliti N. ↑,
  • 64', Mastouri H. ↓, Jaziri S. ↑,
  • 67', Hussein M. ↓, Msindo P. ↑,
  • 85', Salum F. ↓, M'Mombwa C. ↑,
  • 85', Msuva S. ↓, Allarakhia T. ↑,
  • 88', Mejbri H. ↓, Belhadj M. ↑,
  • 88', Gharbi I. ↓, Ben Romdhane M. ↑,
  • 90+5', Mnoga H. ↓, Kapombe S. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/ynxnczmy

Chances of winning


Tanzania
13.6%		Draw
26.4%		Tunisia
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
9.9% 20.8% 69.3%

Tanzania - Tunisia Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 6.98 ↓
(9.5)		 3.58 ↓
(4.5)		 1.58 ↑
(1.35)		 5.7%
(6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tanzania - Tunisia?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Tanzania will win (votes: 3 - 10%). Tunisia will win (votes: 24 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tunisia: 65.7% – 94.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Tanzania (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +1.25 - Tunisia (2.42) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Tunisia (2.05) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.75 - Tanzania (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tunisia will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Tanzania (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tunisia (votes: 11 - 84.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Tunisia has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Tunisia is the clear favorite.
    • There are questionable in Tunisia: Ben Romdhane M. (Injury)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tanzania won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
    Latest results of Tanzania
    27.12.2025 Uganda - Tanzania 1:1 ✺
    23.12.2025 Nigeria - Tanzania 2:1 ✺
    15.11.2025 Kuwait - Tanzania 4:3
    14.10.2025 Iran - Tanzania 2:0
    08.10.2025 Tanzania - Zambia 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Tunisia
    27.12.2025 Nigeria - Tunisia 3:2 ✺
    23.12.2025 Tunisia - Uganda 3:1 ✺
    07.12.2025 Qatar - Tunisia 0:3 ✺
    04.12.2025 Palestine - Tunisia 2:2 ✺
    01.12.2025 Tunisia - Syria 0:1 ✺
    Draw
    Final tournament

    1/8-finals
    1Mali (A2)Tunisia (C2)2 : 1
    2Senegal (D1)Sudan (E3)3 : 1
    3Egypt (B1)Benin (D3)3 : 1
    4Ivory Coast (F1)Burkina Faso (E2)3 : 0
    5Algeria (E1)D.R. Congo (D2)1 : 0
    6Nigeria (C1)Mozambique (F3)4 : 0
    7South Africa (B2)Cameroon (F2)1 : 2
    8Morocco (A1)Tanzania (C3)1 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Mali (A2)Senegal (D1)0 : 1
    2Egypt (B1)Ivory Coast (F1)3 : 2
    3Algeria (E1)Nigeria (C1)0 : 2
    4Cameroon (F2)Morocco (A1)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Senegal (D1)Egypt (B1)1 : 0
    2Nigeria (C1)Morocco (A1)0 : 1

    Final
    1Senegal (D1)Morocco (A1)1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Egypt (B1)Nigeria (C1)0 : 1
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