Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | TVC Deportes |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', Cendejas M. 🟨,
- 36', Torres C. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 0, Perez M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 47', Guajardo D. 🟨,
- 48', 1 - 1, Torres C. ⚽,
- 50', Ochoa I. 🟥,
- 53', Garcia U. 🟨,
- 58', Castro A. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 62', Zabala L. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 2, Aguayo S. ⚽,
- 68', Zaragoza A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 70', Torres C. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 80', Garcia U. ↓, Mendez F. ↑,
- 80', Aguayo S. ↓, Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ↑,
- 80', Guajardo D. ↓, Villaseca D. ↑,
- 81', Alonzo J. ↓, De Los Rios S. ↑,
- 81', Perez M. ↓, Unjanque J. ↑,
- 89', Chavez A. ↓, Uscanga P. ↑,
- 89', Padilla A. ↓, Villa O. ↑,
- 90+8', Flores D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cancún
52.2% | Draw
25.7% | Tapatío
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Cancún - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.83) |
3.59 ↑
(3.55) |
4.15 ↑
(3.94) |
8.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cancún won 1.
- Recent matches Cancún is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Tapatío is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Tapatío could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Cancún is a favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Cancún won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.6:0.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cancún won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Tapatío?
Cancún has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Cancún?
Tapatío has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Tapatío were as follows:
20.10.2024
Tapatío
-
Cancún
2:0
26.03.2024
Cancún
-
Tapatío
1:1
22.07.2023
Tapatío
-
Cancún
0:0
29.03.2023
Cancún
-
Tapatío
1:0
25.08.2022
Tapatío
-
Cancún
1:0
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
