Cancún vs Tapatío – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
74
Corner Kicks
83
Yellow Cards
35
Total shots
1714
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
1010
Corner Kicks
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', Zamora S. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Trejo C. , Alonzo J. (A),
  • 38', 🟨,
  • 40', Delgadillo D. , Mendez F. ,
  • 43', Martinez R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Aguayo S. , Moragrega V. ,
  • 56', Villegas A. 🟨,
  • 63', Uscanga P. , Ochoa I. ,
  • 68', Ochoa I. 🟨,
  • 70', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. , Egurrola L. ,
  • 70', Martinez R. , Nuno R. ,
  • 78', Padilla E. 🟨,
  • 80', Latorre D. , Castro A. ,
  • 82', Rodriguez J. , Campos K. ,
  • 82', Padilla E. , Reyes R. ,
  • 88', Villaseca D. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Chavez A. , Solano A. ,
  • 90+9', Galindo B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cancún
55.8%
Draw
24.1%
Tapatío
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.1% 23.9% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 23.1% 19.3%

Cancún - Tapatío Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.68
(1.66)
3.89
(3.89)
4.66
(4.64)
6.8%
(7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
  • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
  • Cancún is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Tapatío has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
  • Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  • In this match, Cancún is a strong favorite.
  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.6:0.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Tapatío were as follows:
05.04.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:2
20.10.2024 Tapatío - Cancún 2:0
26.03.2024 Cancún - Tapatío 1:1
22.07.2023 Tapatío - Cancún 0:0
29.03.2023 Cancún - Tapatío 1:0
Latest results of Cancún
20.09.2025 Jaiba Brava - Cancún 2:1
13.09.2025 Cancún - Venados 1:0
Latest results of Tapatío
13.09.2025 Tlaxcala - Tapatío 1:0
06.09.2025 Jaiba Brava - Tapatío 2:1
29.08.2025 Tapatío - Atlante 3:0
Draw
Apertura - Play Offs

Quarter-finals
1Tampico Madero (3)Leones Negros (6)4 : 1, 0 : 1
2Atlante (1)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)1 : 1, 0 : 1
3Irapuato (4)Zacatecas Mineros (5)2 : 2, 1 : 1
4Cancun (2)Atl. Morelia (7)1 : 1, 1 : 3

Semi-finals
1Tampico Madero (3)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)
2Irapuato (4)Atl. Morelia (7)0 : 0