Result
1:2
06/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 16', Hernandez J. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Trejo C. ⚽, Preciado G. (A),
- 20', Guillen D. 🟨,
- 34', Inda C. 🟨,
- 38', Chavez A. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 2, Trejo C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Inda C. ↓, Zamora S. ↑,
- 46', Jimenez L. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
- 46', Ledesma L. 🟨,
- 49', 1 - 2, Medina C. ⚽, Egurrola L. (A),
- 62', Campos K. ↓, Barraza L. ↑,
- 62', Preciado G. ↓, Melendre F. ↑,
- 63', Zamora S. 🟨,
- 67', Reyes R. 🟨,
- 69', Uribe J. ↓, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↑,
- 69', Ledesma L. ↓, Moragrega V. ↑,
- 79', El-mesmari B. ↓, Guzman G. ↑,
- 79', Uscanga P. ↓, Ochoa I. ↑,
- 80', Esparza S. ↓, Ortiz G. ↑,
- 82', Trejo C. ↓, Villatoro M. ↑,
- 90+3', Melendre F. 🟨,
- 90+4', Andrade C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tapatío
43.7% | Draw
27.4% | Cancún
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Tapatío - Cancún Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.11) |
3.39 ↓
(3.43) |
3.23 ↓
(3.28) |
7.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tapatío - Cancún?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tapatío will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tapatío (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 2.
- Tapatío is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cancún's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tapatío might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Cancún?
Tapatío has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Tapatío?
Cancún has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Cancún were as follows:
27.09.2025
Cancún
-
Tapatío
1:0
05.04.2025
Cancún
-
Tapatío
1:2
20.10.2024
Tapatío
-
Cancún
2:0
26.03.2024
Cancún
-
Tapatío
1:1
22.07.2023
Tapatío
-
Cancún
0:0
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
