Cancún vs Tapatío – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Cancún - Tapatío
Result
1:2
05/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13
  • Referee: Solorio Arreola H. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoTVC Deportes

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
83
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
10
Total shots
189
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
106
Corner Kicks
92
Goalkeeper Saves
17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', Cendejas M. 🟨,
  • 36', Torres C. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 1 - 0, Perez M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', Guajardo D. 🟨,
  • 48', 1 - 1, Torres C. ,
  • 50', Ochoa I. 🟥,
  • 53', Garcia U. 🟨,
  • 58', Castro A. , Sanchez B. ,
  • 62', Zabala L. 🟨,
  • 64', 1 - 2, Aguayo S. ,
  • 68', Zaragoza A. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 70', Torres C. , Uribe J. ,
  • 80', Garcia U. , Mendez F. ,
  • 80', Aguayo S. , Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ,
  • 80', Guajardo D. , Villaseca D. ,
  • 81', Alonzo J. , De Los Rios S. ,
  • 81', Perez M. , Unjanque J. ,
  • 89', Chavez A. , Uscanga P. ,
  • 89', Padilla A. , Villa O. ,
  • 90+8', Flores D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cancún
52.2%
Draw
25.7%
Tapatío
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 26% 23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9% 24.6% 24.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Cancún - Tapatío Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.83)
    3.59
    (3.55)
    4.15
    (3.94)
    8.7%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cancún won 1.
    • Recent matches Cancún is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tapatío is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Tapatío could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Cancún is a favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Cancún won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:5 (average 0.6:0.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cancún won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Tapatío were as follows:
    20.10.2024 Tapatío - Cancún 2:0
    26.03.2024 Cancún - Tapatío 1:1
    22.07.2023 Tapatío - Cancún 0:0
    29.03.2023 Cancún - Tapatío 1:0
    25.08.2022 Tapatío - Cancún 1:0
    Latest results of Cancún
    29.03.2025 Atlante - Cancún 4:1
    22.03.2025 Cancún - Celaya 1:1
    15.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Cancún 1:1
    08.03.2025 Cancún - Dorados 1:0
    Latest results of Tapatío
    19.03.2025 Tapatío - Atlante 1:1
    09.03.2025 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 1:0
    05.03.2025 Venados - Tapatío 4:2
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)