Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        27/09/2025 at  21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 49% | 51% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 14 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 10 | 10 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Zamora S. 🟨, 
- 37', 1 - 0, Trejo C. ⚽, Alonzo J. (A), 
- 38',  🟨, 
- 40', Delgadillo D. ↓, Mendez F. ↑, 
- 43', Martinez R. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Aguayo S. ↓, Moragrega V. ↑, 
- 56', Villegas A. 🟨, 
- 63', Uscanga P. ↓, Ochoa I. ↑, 
- 68', Ochoa I. 🟨, 
- 70', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑, 
- 70', Martinez R. ↓, Nuno R. ↑, 
- 78', Padilla E. 🟨, 
- 80', Latorre D. ↓, Castro A. ↑, 
- 82', Rodriguez J. ↓, Campos K. ↑, 
- 82', Padilla E. ↓, Reyes R. ↑, 
- 88', Villaseca D. 🟨, 
- 90+1', Chavez A. ↓, Solano A. ↑, 
- 90+9', Galindo B. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Cancún 55.8%
 | Draw 24.1%
 | Tapatío 20.1%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Cancún - Tapatío Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.68 ↑ (1.66)
 | 3.89 ↑ (3.89)
 | 4.66 ↑ (4.64)
 | 6.8% (7.7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
- Cancún is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tapatío has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cancún is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Tapatío?
                    
                    
                        
                            Cancún has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Cancún?
                    
                    
                        
                             Tapatío has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Tapatío were as follows:
                                                        
                                05.04.2025 
                                Cancún 
                                - 
                                Tapatío 
                                1:2
                            
        
                                                        
                                20.10.2024 
                                Tapatío 
                                - 
                                Cancún 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                26.03.2024 
                                Cancún 
                                - 
                                Tapatío 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                22.07.2023 
                                Tapatío 
                                - 
                                Cancún 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                29.03.2023 
                                Cancún 
                                - 
                                Tapatío 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Tapatío                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Cancun ✔ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:5 | 19 | 29 | 
| 2 | Atlante ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:9 | 19 | 26 | 
| 3 | Tampico Madero ✔ | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 | 
| 4 | Irapuato | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 19 | 
| 5 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 18 | 
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 | 
| 7 | Leones Negros | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 | 
| 8 | Atl. Morelia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 | 
| 9 | Venados | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:28 | -4 | 15 | 
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 14 | 
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 | 
| 12 | Tapatio | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | 
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | 
| 14 | Correcaminos | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 | 
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)