Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', Zamora S. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Trejo C. ⚽, Alonzo J. (A),
- 38', 🟨,
- 40', Delgadillo D. ↓, Mendez F. ↑,
- 43', Martinez R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Aguayo S. ↓, Moragrega V. ↑,
- 56', Villegas A. 🟨,
- 63', Uscanga P. ↓, Ochoa I. ↑,
- 68', Ochoa I. 🟨,
- 70', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 70', Martinez R. ↓, Nuno R. ↑,
- 78', Padilla E. 🟨,
- 80', Latorre D. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 82', Rodriguez J. ↓, Campos K. ↑,
- 82', Padilla E. ↓, Reyes R. ↑,
- 88', Villaseca D. 🟨,
- 90+1', Chavez A. ↓, Solano A. ↑,
- 90+9', Galindo B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cancún
55.8% | Draw
24.1% | Tapatío
20.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Cancún - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.66) |
3.89 ↑
(3.89) |
4.66 ↑
(4.64) |
6.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 1.
- Cancún is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Tapatío has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cancún is a strong favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.6:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Tapatío?
Cancún has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Cancún?
Tapatío has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Tapatío were as follows:
05.04.2025
Cancún
-
Tapatío
1:2
20.10.2024
Tapatío
-
Cancún
2:0
26.03.2024
Cancún
-
Tapatío
1:1
22.07.2023
Tapatío
-
Cancún
0:0
29.03.2023
Cancún
-
Tapatío
1:0
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
