Tapatío vs Cancún – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Tapatío
44.1%
Draw
27%
Cancún
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 27.2% 28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 27% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Tapatío - Cancún Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.11)
    3.4
    (3.43)
    3.18
    (3.28)
    8.9%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 2.
    • Tapatío is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Cancún's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tapatío could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.6:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Cancún were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:0
    05.04.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:2
    20.10.2024 Tapatío - Cancún 2:0
    26.03.2024 Cancún - Tapatío 1:1
    22.07.2023 Tapatío - Cancún 0:0
    Latest results of Tapatío
    22.02.2026 Tapatío - Tlaxcala Postponed
    13.02.2026 Tapatío - Jaiba Brava 3:1
    07.02.2026 Atlante - Tapatío 1:3
    Latest results of Cancún
    28.02.2026 Cancún - Jaiba Brava 1:2
    10.02.2026 Venados - Cancún 2:0
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia751111:3816
    2Tepatitlan de Morelos84318:4415
    3Tapatio742116:10614
    4Tlaxcala741211:9213
    5Cancun731310:8210
    6Atlante723210:739
    7Atletico La Paz62318:539
    8Irapuato730413:14-19
    9Alebrijes Oaxaca72329:10-19
    10Venados822416:17-18
    11Zacatecas Mineros72239:10-18
    12Leones Negros71338:13-56
    13Jaiba Brava62045:10-56
    14Correcaminos71336:12-66
    15Dorados de Sinaloa813411:19-86

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)