Result
19/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tapatío
55.6% | Draw
24.5% | Correcaminos UAT
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.69) |
3.76 ↓
(4.05) |
4.62 ↑
(4.11) |
8.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 3.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Tapatío is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Correcaminos UAT?
Tapatío has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Tapatío?
Correcaminos UAT has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT were as follows:
11.04.2025
Tapatío
-
Correcaminos UAT
4:0
24.10.2024
Correcaminos UAT
-
Tapatío
0:3
20.03.2024
Tapatío
-
Correcaminos UAT
2:2
16.08.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Tapatío
2:2
20.01.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Tapatío
1:2
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 3 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12:4 | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Atl. Morelia | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 6 | Atlante | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Tapatio | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 8 | Leones Negros | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 8 |
| 12 | Venados | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3:13 | -10 | 3 |
| 15 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
