Tapatío vs Correcaminos UAT – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
19/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
169
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
169
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
136
Corner Kicks
72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Latorre D. , Guzman Rodriguez J. L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Rubli G. , Martinez J. ,
  • 47', Lopez M. 🟨,
  • 60', Jimenez L. 🟨,
  • 64', Jimenez L. , Nuno R. ,
  • 64', Ledesma L. , Inda C. ,
  • 64', Arce R. , Velazquez H. ,
  • 64', Estopier J. , Hernandez E. ,
  • 70', Latorre D. , Castro A. ,
  • 70', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. , Egurrola L. ,
  • 74', Moreno G. 🟨,
  • 74', Espinosa Y. , Trevino S. ,
  • 74', Villareal A. , Garcia J. ,
  • 80', Martinez R. , Freyfeld E. ,
  • 85', Martinez J. 🟨,
  • 88', 2 - 0, Aguayo S. (Pen),
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Hernandez E. (Pen),
  • 90+12', 2 - 2, Hernandez E. ,
  • 90+14', (Pen),

Chances of winning


Tapatío
54.3%
Draw
23.4%
Correcaminos UAT
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 22.8% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5% 22.5% 22.2%

Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.72
(1.69)
3.98
(4.05)
4.18
(4.11)
7.3%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tapatío (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 3.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Tapatío is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT were as follows:
    11.04.2025 Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT 4:0
    24.10.2024 Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío 0:3
    20.03.2024 Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT 2:2
    16.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío 2:2
    20.01.2023 Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío 1:2
    Latest results of Tapatío
    13.09.2025 Tlaxcala - Tapatío 1:0
    06.09.2025 Jaiba Brava - Tapatío 2:1
    29.08.2025 Tapatío - Atlante 3:0
    Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Leones Negros (6)4 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Atlante (1)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)1 : 1, 0 : 1
    3Irapuato (4)Zacatecas Mineros (5)2 : 2, 1 : 1
    4Cancun (2)Atl. Morelia (7)1 : 1, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)
    2Irapuato (4)Atl. Morelia (7)0 : 0