Result
2:2
19/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Latorre D. ⚽, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Rubli G. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 47', Lopez M. 🟨,
- 60', Jimenez L. 🟨,
- 64', Jimenez L. ↓, Nuno R. ↑,
- 64', Ledesma L. ↓, Inda C. ↑,
- 64', Arce R. ↓, Velazquez H. ↑,
- 64', Estopier J. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 70', Latorre D. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
- 70', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 74', Moreno G. 🟨,
- 74', Espinosa Y. ↓, Trevino S. ↑,
- 74', Villareal A. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
- 80', Martinez R. ↓, Freyfeld E. ↑,
- 85', Martinez J. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 0, Aguayo S. (Pen),
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Hernandez E. (Pen),
- 90+12', 2 - 2, Hernandez E. ⚽,
- 90+14', (Pen),
Chances of winning
Tapatío
54.3% | Draw
23.4% | Correcaminos UAT
22.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.69) |
3.98 ↓
(4.05) |
4.18 ↑
(4.11) |
7.3%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tapatío (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 3.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Tapatío is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tapatío won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 23:8. (average 2.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tapatío won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Correcaminos UAT?
Tapatío has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Tapatío?
Correcaminos UAT has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT were as follows:
11.04.2025
Tapatío
-
Correcaminos UAT
4:0
24.10.2024
Correcaminos UAT
-
Tapatío
0:3
20.03.2024
Tapatío
-
Correcaminos UAT
2:2
16.08.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Tapatío
2:2
20.01.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Tapatío
1:2
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
