Tapatío vs Correcaminos UAT – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT
Result
4:0
11/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
71
Corner Kicks
59
Total shots
97
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
26
Corner Kicks
59
Goalkeeper Saves
13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Aguayo S. ,
  • 28', 2 - 0, Torres C. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Guajardo D. , Tellez B. ,
  • 51', Velazquez H. , Estopier J. ,
  • 54', Salas F. 🟨,
  • 54', Torres C. , Rodriguez Vazquez B. ,
  • 68', Pereyra J. , Villareal A. ,
  • 68', Hernandez E. , Trevino S. ,
  • 75', Villaseca D. , Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ,
  • 75', Castro A. , Sanchez B. ,
  • 75', Aguayo S. , Cervantes D. ,
  • 77', Capeluto J. M. 🟨,
  • 78', Salas F. , Espinosa Y. ,
  • 78', Martinez J. , Flores A. ,
  • 80', Flores D. 🟨,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Cendejas M. ,
  • 86', 4 - 0, Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ,

Chances of winning


Tapatío
56.6%
Draw
23.1%
Correcaminos UAT
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 20.9% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6% 20.5% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tapatío's form might have worsened.
  • Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tapatío, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.48)
    3.99
    (4.41)
    4.55
    (5.5)
    8.4%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tapatío (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 3.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Correcaminos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Tapatío is a favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:8 (average 2.1:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tapatío won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT were as follows:
    24.10.2024 Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío 0:3
    20.03.2024 Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT 2:2
    16.08.2023 Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío 2:2
    20.01.2023 Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío 1:2
    20.09.2022 Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT 2:0
    Latest results of Tapatío
    05.04.2025 Cancún - Tapatío 1:2
    19.03.2025 Tapatío - Atlante 1:1
    09.03.2025 Tapatío - Tlaxcala 1:0
    05.03.2025 Venados - Tapatío 4:2
    Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Irapuato11004:133
    2Tapatio11002:023
    3Tampico Madero11001:013
    4Cancun11001:013
    5Atlante10101:101
    6Atl. Morelia10101:101
    7Correcaminos10101:101
    8Tlaxcala10101:101
    9Zacatecas Mineros10101:101
    10Tepatitlan de Morelos10101:101
    11Alebrijes Oaxaca00000:000
    12Dorados de Sinaloa10010:1-10
    13Leones Negros10010:1-10
    14Atletico La Paz10010:2-20
    15Venados10011:4-30

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)