Result
4:0
11/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Aguayo S. ⚽,
- 28', 2 - 0, Torres C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Guajardo D. ↓, Tellez B. ↑,
- 51', Velazquez H. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
- 54', Salas F. 🟨,
- 54', Torres C. ↓, Rodriguez Vazquez B. ↑,
- 68', Pereyra J. ↓, Villareal A. ↑,
- 68', Hernandez E. ↓, Trevino S. ↑,
- 75', Villaseca D. ↓, Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ↑,
- 75', Castro A. ↓, Sanchez B. ↑,
- 75', Aguayo S. ↓, Cervantes D. ↑,
- 77', Capeluto J. M. 🟨,
- 78', Salas F. ↓, Espinosa Y. ↑,
- 78', Martinez J. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
- 80', Flores D. 🟨,
- 82', 3 - 0, Cendejas M. ⚽,
- 86', 4 - 0, Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tapatío
56.6% | Draw
23.1% | Correcaminos UAT
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tapatío's form might have worsened.Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tapatío, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.48) |
3.99 ↓
(4.41) |
4.55 ↓
(5.5) |
8.4%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tapatío (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Correcaminos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Tapatío is a favorite.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 19:8 (average 2.1:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tapatío won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Correcaminos UAT?
Tapatío has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Tapatío?
Correcaminos UAT has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Correcaminos UAT were as follows:
24.10.2024
Correcaminos UAT
-
Tapatío
0:3
20.03.2024
Tapatío
-
Correcaminos UAT
2:2
16.08.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Tapatío
2:2
20.01.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Tapatío
1:2
20.09.2022
Tapatío
-
Correcaminos UAT
2:0
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 12 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 8 |
| 3 | Zacatecas Mineros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Leones Negros | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Tampico Madero | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Correcaminos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 9 | Atlante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Atl. Morelia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1:7 | -6 | 3 |
| 12 | Atletico La Paz | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
| 14 | Venados | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:11 | -6 | 1 |
| 15 | Tlaxcala | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:9 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
