Result
2:2
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Delgadillo Franco O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 27', Parra R. 🟨,
- 33', Villaseca D. 🟨,
- 34', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 🟨,
- 38', Parra R. 🟨,
- 45', Sosa C. 🟨,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Zamora S. ⚽, Guzman Rodriguez J. L. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Esparza S. ↑,
- 46', Villaseca D. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 55', Sosa C. ↓, Cisneros D. ↑,
- 56', Pinuelas J. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
- 58', 1 - 1, Estopier J. ⚽, Sandoval T. (A),
- 67', 1 - 2, Tellez B. ⚽, Jimenez L. (A),
- 69', Moragrega V. ↓, Cendejas M. ↑,
- 73', Esparza S. 🟨,
- 75', Uribe H. ↓, Delgadillo Y. ↑,
- 75', Moreno G. ↓, Rubio R. ↑,
- 79', Cisneros D. 🟨,
- 88', Inda C. ↓, Nuno R. ↑,
- 90+2', Torres E. ↓, Mina D. ↑,
- 90+3', Jimenez L. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Sandoval T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+8', Castellanos R. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Correcaminos UAT
32.3% | Draw
26.9% | Tapatío
40.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+3%)
Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.83 ↓
(3.01) |
3.41 ↓
(3.53) |
2.25 ↑
(2.19) |
9.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Tapatío will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Correcaminos (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Correcaminos (1.46) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Correcaminos (votes: 2 - 50%). Tapatío (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 0.
- In recent matches, Correcaminos has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tapatío is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:25. (average 0.9:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Correcaminos won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:12. (average 1:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Tapatío?
Correcaminos UAT has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Correcaminos UAT?
Tapatío has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Correcaminos UAT - Tapatío were as follows:
19.09.2025
Tapatío
-
Correcaminos UAT
2:2
11.04.2025
Tapatío
-
Correcaminos UAT
4:0
24.10.2024
Correcaminos UAT
-
Tapatío
0:3
20.03.2024
Tapatío
-
Correcaminos UAT
2:2
16.08.2023
Correcaminos UAT
-
Tapatío
2:2
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
