Result
3:4
07/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 3.40 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10% (3/30) | 17.39% (4/23) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 82.61% (19/23) | 90% (27/30) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 49.09 | 50.91 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 00:50, 0 - 1, Kangasniemi I. (G), Hillis C. (A), Vaisanen J. (A2)
- 14:41, 0 - 2, Vaisanen J. (G), Kangasniemi I. (A), Hillis C. (A2)
- 17:47, 1 - 2, Keskinen O. (G), Tanus K. (A), Brickley D. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 03:11, 1 - 3, Tuomaala A. (G), Hamalainen J. (A), Talvitie A. (A2)
- 03:41, Keskinen O. (2 min),
- 06:46, 2 - 3, Keskinen O. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Suvanto O. (A2)
- 15:28, Rauhala O. (2 min),
- 15:28, Leppanen O. (2 min),
- 19:49, 2 - 4, Kangasniemi I. (G), Nakyva K. (A), Aronsson A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 02:08, 3 - 4, Brickley D. (G), Tuulola J. (A), Tuulola E. (A2)
- 09:10, Talvitie A. (2 min),
- 09:39, Keskinen O. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Tappara
63.1% | Draw
19.2% | Kiekko-Espoo
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Tappara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Tappara - Kiekko-Espoo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.48) |
4.72 ↑
(4.65) |
5.33 ↓
(5.57) |
7.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Kiekko-Espoo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tappara is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Tappara will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 42:36. (average 3.2:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 3.5:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tappara won against Kiekko-Espoo?
Tappara has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against Tappara?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tappara - Kiekko-Espoo were as follows:
03.01.2026
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Tappara
2:5
18.10.2025
Tappara
-
Kiekko-Espoo
3:4
17.10.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Tappara
4:3
24.03.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
Tappara
3:4
22.03.2025
Tappara
-
Kiekko-Espoo
2:1
Latest results of Tappara
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
