Taquaritinga vs Penapolense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Paulista A4 - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Caio ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+2', 1 - 1, Brendon ,

Chances of winning


Taquaritinga
23.4%
Draw
32.3%
Penapolense
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.3% 29.4% 35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3% 29.4% 35.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Taquaritinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taquaritinga's form might have worsened.
  • Penapolense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Penapolense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taquaritinga than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taquaritinga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penapolense than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Penapolense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Taquaritinga - Penapolense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.86
    (2.59)
    2.8
    (3.11)
    2.05
    (2.59)
    10.5%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Penapolense is Qualified for Paulista A4 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Taquaritinga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Taquaritinga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 3:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Taquaritinga - Penapolense were as follows:
    25.02.2026 Taquaritinga - Penapolense 3:0
    26.02.2025 Penapolense - Taquaritinga 1:2
    20.03.2024 Taquaritinga - Penapolense 3:1
    Latest results of Taquaritinga
    Latest results of Penapolense
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Inter de Bebedouro (1)Lemense (8)2 : 0
    2Sao-Carlense (4)Barretos EC (5)1 : 1
    3Sao Caetano (2)Jacarei FC (7)0 : 0
    4Penapolense (3)Taquaritinga (6)1 : 1