Canterbury vs Taranaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Canterbury - Taranaki
Result
34:14
04/10/2025 at 23:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bunnings NPC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (22 - 7)
  • 2nd Half (12 - 7)

Chances of winning


Canterbury
65.8%
Draw
3.9%
Taranaki
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.7% 3.8% 34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 3.7% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canterbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Taranaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranaki than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Canterbury - Taranaki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.48)
    25
    (24)
    3.2
    (2.65)
    8.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 49.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canterbury won 2.
    • Canterbury is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Taranaki has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Canterbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Canterbury is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Canterbury will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Canterbury won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 383:304. (average 29.5:23.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Canterbury won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 283:190. (average 35.4:23.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canterbury - Taranaki were as follows:
    13.10.2023 Taranaki - Canterbury 23:16
    01.09.2023 Canterbury - Taranaki 29:28
    Latest results of Canterbury
    27.09.2025 Northland - Canterbury 19:19
    20.09.2025 Canterbury - Otago 36:38
    13.09.2025 Canterbury - Tasman 31:25
    06.09.2025 Southland - Canterbury 14:54
    29.08.2025 Canterbury - Manawatu 53:14
    Latest results of Taranaki
    26.09.2025 Taranaki - Wellington 39:20
    19.09.2025 Taranaki - Hawkes Bay 38:24
    13.09.2025 Otago - Taranaki 28:26
    06.09.2025 Taranaki - Bay of Plenty 17:43
    29.08.2025 Counties Manukau - Taranaki 22:43
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Canterbury (1)Counties Manukau (8)
    2Hawke's Bay (4)Taranaki (5)
    3Otago (2)Waikato (7)44 : 41
    4Bay of Plenty (3)Tasman (6)