Result
26:12
11/10/2025 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bunnings NPC - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloSports app, Sky Go, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (14 - 6)
- 2nd Half (12 - 6)
Chances of winning
Hawkes Bay
58.6% | Draw
3.9% | Taranaki
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawkes Bay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Taranaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawkes Bay than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranaki than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Hawkes Bay - Taranaki Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.64) |
24.06 ↑
(21) |
2.49 ↑
(2.36) |
7.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 1.
- Hawkes Bay is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Taranaki has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Taranaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hawkes Bay might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Hawkes Bay will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Hawkes Bay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 299:403. (average 24.9:33.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hawkes Bay won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 159:177. (average 31.8:35.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Hawkes Bay won against Taranaki?
Hawkes Bay has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Taranaki won against Hawkes Bay?
Taranaki has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hawkes Bay - Taranaki were as follows:
19.09.2025
Taranaki
-
Hawkes Bay
38:24
20.09.2024
Hawkes Bay
-
Taranaki
19:63
20.10.2023
Taranaki
-
Hawkes Bay
22:19
Latest results of Hawkes Bay
Latest results of Taranaki
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Canterbury (1) | Counties Manukau (8) | 23 : 15 |
| 2 | Hawke's Bay (4) | Taranaki (5) | 26 : 12 |
| 3 | Otago (2) | Waikato (7) | 44 : 41 |
| 4 | Bay of Plenty (3) | Tasman (6) | 27 : 7 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Canterbury (1) | Hawke's Bay (4) | 43 : 19 |
| 2 | Otago (2) | Bay of Plenty (3) | 41 : 17 |
Final| 1 | Canterbury (1) | Otago (2) | 36 : 28 |
