FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Estonian Esiliiga FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco
Result
1:5
05/07/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Esiliiga - Round 18

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 37', 0 - 1, Mugra M. ,
  • 39', 1 - 1, Plotnikov V. ,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Magi M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 55', Golovljov E. , Ekharts D. ,
  • 59', Magi M. , Mottus E. ,
  • 59', Ernits H. , Petmanson J. ,
  • 59', Sossi M. , Sokolov I. ,
  • 61', 1 - 3, Mugra M. ,
  • 65', 1 - 4, Mottus E. (Pen),
  • 65', Ussatsov I. 🟨,
  • 69', Songisepp A. , Vool A. ,
  • 71', Arhipov L. , Sesterikov M. ,
  • 71', Istsenko V. , Slobodjan A. ,
  • 77', Mugra M. , Penu M. ,
  • 80', Malinin V. 🟨,
  • 83', Malinin V. , Mohhov I. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 5, ,

Chances of winning


FC Tallinn
40%
Draw
23%
Tartu Welco
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.7% 22.6% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 21.8% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • FC Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Tallinn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.07)
    3.91
    (4)
    2.43
    (2.68)
    11.2%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. FC Tallinn will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Tallinn won 1.
    • FC Tallinn has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Tartu Welco has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • FC Tallinn may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, FC Tallinn won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:18. (average 1.6:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, FC Tallinn won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Tartu Welco - FC Tallinn 3:1
    26.01.2025 FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco 5:3
    03.11.2024 Tartu Welco - FC Tallinn 1:1
    20.08.2024 FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco 1:3
    14.06.2024 FC Tallinn - Tartu Welco 1:1
    Latest results of FC Tallinn
    Latest results of Tartu Welco
    Estonian Esiliiga Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nomme Utd20171266:135352
    2Viimsi JK20143345:153045
    3Tartu Welco20124445:271840
    4Elva21115543:36738
    5FC Tallinn2194840:37331
    6Nomme Kalju U2121811231:52-2125
    7Flora U212166936:32424
    8Levadia U2121551135:43-820
    9Tallinna Kalev U2120171228:55-2710
    10Tammeka U2121201922:81-596

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