Result
5:0
03/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Reid K. ⚽,
- 32', 2 - 0, Roni Santos ⚽,
- 45', 3 - 0, Bayo J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Wesley Hudson ↓, D'Alessandro M. ↑,
- 59', Valverde A. ↓, Borg L. ↑,
- 70', Reid K. ↓, Vrcic J. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 0, Garzia A. ⚽,
- 80', 5 - 0, Garzia A. ⚽,
- 81', Coppola A. ↓, Micallef N. ↑,
- 81', Garzia A. ↓, Cross N. ↑,
- 85', Vella A. ↓, Vella K. ↑,
- 85', Claudio Murici ↓, Gatt K. ↑,
- 87', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Birkirkara 52.3% | Draw 25.8% | Tarxien Rainbows 21.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Birkirkara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Tarxien Rainbows has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birkirkara than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Birkirkara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Birkirkara - Tarxien Rainbows Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.75 ↑ (1.61) |
3.54 ↓ (3.81) |
4.2 ↓ (4.93) |
9.3% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Birkirkara - Tarxien Rainbows?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Birkirkara (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Birkirkara will win
(11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Birkirkara will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Birkirkara (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 10 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 5.
- Recent form of Birkirkara has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tarxien has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Birkirkara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Birkirkara is a strong favorite.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Birkirkara won 16 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 44:11. (average 2.4:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Birkirkara won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:4. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Birkirkara won against Tarxien Rainbows?
Birkirkara has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tarxien Rainbows won against Birkirkara?
Tarxien Rainbows has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Birkirkara - Tarxien Rainbows were as follows:
28.10.2025
Tarxien Rainbows
-
Birkirkara
0:4
Latest results of Birkirkara
Latest results of Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 14 |
| 4 | Gzira | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Valletta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Sliema | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 12 | Mosta | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:16 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )