Tasman vs Canterbury – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union New Zealand Bunnings NPC Tasman - Canterbury
Result
14:62
12/10/2024 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Rugby

Match Stats

Tries
29
Conversion Goals
27
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
01
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (7 - 33)
  • 7', Kellow C. (Try),
  • 13', Drummond M. (Try),
  • 13', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 21', Ennor B. (Try),
  • 22', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 30', Punivai N. (Try),
  • 31', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 36', Aumua L. (Try),
  • 36', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Christie T. (Try),
  • 40', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (7 - 29)
  • 43', Punivai N. (Try),
  • 44', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 46', Havili D. (Try),
  • 47', Havili W. (Conversion Goal),
  • 53', Fihaki C. (Try),
  • 65', McAlister B. (Try),
  • 67', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 69', Harmon B. (Try),
  • 69', Hutchinson I. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80', Hutchinson I. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Tasman
58.8%
Draw
4.2%
Canterbury
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.4% 3.7% 28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 3.9% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tasman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tasman's form might have worsened.
  • Canterbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canterbury's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tasman than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tasman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canterbury than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canterbury, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tasman - Canterbury Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.38)
    21.93
    (25)
    2.48
    (3.2)
    8.9%
    (8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 55.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Tasman won 1.
    • Recent matches Tasman is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Canterbury is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Tasman could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Tasman is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Tasman to win the game is with odds 1.36.
    • Last 16 head-to-head matches Tasman won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 310:433 (average 19.4:27.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Tasman won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 147:238 (average 16.3:26.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tasman - Canterbury were as follows:
    16.08.2024 Tasman - Canterbury 22:7
    23.09.2023 Canterbury - Tasman 30:28
    26.08.2022 Tasman - Canterbury 20:52
    Latest results of Tasman
    05.10.2024 Tasman - Taranaki 29:42
    02.10.2024 Tasman - Auckland 31:17
    28.09.2024 Otago - Tasman 47:31
    21.09.2024 Waikato - Tasman 25:27
    14.09.2024 Tasman - Wellington 28:15
    Latest results of Canterbury
    05.10.2024 Canterbury - Waikato 36:19
    28.09.2024 North Harbour - Canterbury 65:19
    20.09.2024 Canterbury - Counties Manukau 36:28
    13.09.2024 Southland - Canterbury 29:41
    07.09.2024 Otago - Canterbury 16:34
    New Zealand Bunnings NPC Table
    2025
    PlWDLPts
    1Taranaki110023:34
    2Canterbury110033:154
    3Manawatu110038:254
    4Otago110024:154
    5Waikato110036:354
    6Auckland100135:361
    7Bay of Plenty00000:00
    8Counties Manukau00000:00
    9Hawke's Bay00000:00
    10Tasman00000:00
    11Southland100115:240
    12North Harbour100125:380
    13Wellington100115:330
    14Northland10013:230

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