Tatjana Maria vs Kayla Day – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Guadalajara Challenger Women Tatjana Maria - Kayla Day
Result
2:0
02/09/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Guadalajara (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
43
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
54%66%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (27/37)67% (36/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
66% (21/32)50% (14/28)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
33% (18/54)27% (10/37)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (14/28)34% (11/32)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)50% (1/2)
Max Points In Row
55
Service Points Won
70% (48/69)61% (50/82)
Return Points Won
39% (32/82)30% (21/69)
Total Points Won
53% (80/151)47% (71/151)
Max Games In Row
21
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Tatjana Maria
57%
Kayla Day
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.5% 35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tatjana Maria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tatjana Maria's form might have worsened.
  • Kayla Day has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kayla Day's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tatjana Maria than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tatjana Maria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kayla Day, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tatjana Maria - Kayla Day Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.44)

    2.18
    (2.62)
    6.6%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Tatjana Maria - Kayla Day?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Maria will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Day will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Maria: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Maria is ranked WTA: 99. Day is ranked WTA: 164.
    • Recent matches Maria is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Day is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Maria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Maria won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.
    Latest results of Tatjana Maria
    28.08.2024 Tatjana Maria - Cori Gauff 0:2
    20.08.2024 Xiyu Wang - Tatjana Maria 2:0
    16.08.2024 Tatjana Maria - Antonia Ruzic Ruzic A. walkover
    Latest results of Kayla Day
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Schmiedlova A. K. (1)Garcia J. (WC)2 : 1
    2Birrell K. (Q)Konjuh A. (WC)2 : 0
    3Pavlou D. (WC)Strakhova V. (Q)2 : 0
    4Arconada U. M.Bektas E. (6)1 : 2
    5Maria T. (4)Day K.2 : 0
    6Hu V.Eala A.1 : 2
    7Stefanini L.Vickery S. (Q)2 : 0
    8Gadecki O.Riera J. (8)2 : 0
    9Joint M. (7)Mandlik E.0 : 2
    10Guadiana Campos A. K. (WC)Arango E.0 : 2
    11Sanchez A. S.Sharma A.0 : 2
    12Marino R.Zarazua R. (3)2 : 0
    13Rakhimova K. (5)Murray S. (Q)2 : 0
    14Chong E.Preston T.0 : 2
    15Krunic A.Stakusic M.2 : 0
    16Savinykh V.Trevisan M. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Schmiedlova A. K. (1)Birrell K.2 : 0
    2Pavlou D.Bektas E. (6)0 : 2
    3Maria T. (4)Eala A.2 : 0
    4Stefanini L.Gadecki O.1 : 2
    5Mandlik E.Arango E.1 : 2
    6Sharma A.Marino R.0 : 2
    7Rakhimova K. (5)Preston T.2 : 0
    8Krunic A.Trevisan M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Schmiedlova A. K. (1)Bektas E. (6)2 : 0
    2Maria T. (4)Gadecki O.2 : 0
    3Arango E.Marino R.2 : 1
    4Rakhimova K. (5)Trevisan M. (RET.) (2)1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Schmiedlova A. K. (1)Maria T. (4)0 : 2
    2Arango E.Rakhimova K. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Maria T. (4)Rakhimova K. (5)1 : 2