Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 28
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Citarella F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 56', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tau Altopascio 42.4% | Draw 31.7% | Orvietana 26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tau Altopascio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tau Altopascio's form might have worsened.Orvietana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tau Altopascio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (-5%)
Tau Altopascio - Orvietana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.13 ↑ (1.77) |
2.85 ↓ (3.43) |
3.48 ↓ (4.2) |
10.7% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
- Tau is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Orvietana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Tau is a strong favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tau Altopascio won against Orvietana?
Tau Altopascio has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orvietana won against Tau Altopascio?
Orvietana has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tau Altopascio - Orvietana were as follows:
09.11.2025
Orvietana
-
Tau Altopascio
0:2
07.01.2024
Tau Altopascio
-
Orvietana
1:0
10.09.2023
Orvietana
-
Tau Altopascio
0:2
22.01.2023
Tau Altopascio
-
Orvietana
3:4
Latest results of Tau Altopascio
Latest results of Orvietana
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 66 |
| 2 | Tau | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 43:25 | 18 | 52 |
| 3 | Seravezza Pozzi | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 38:22 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Siena | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 5 | Prato | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 23:23 | 0 | 45 |
| 7 | Foligno | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 42:34 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 40 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 25:29 | -4 | 39 |
| 10 | Trestina | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Ghiviborgo | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 39:36 | 3 | 33 |
| 12 | Camaiore | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 36:44 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | San Donato | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Orvietana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:34 | -5 | 29 |
| 15 | Follonica Gavorrano | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:43 | -14 | 29 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 24:41 | -17 | 24 |
| 17 | Vivi Altotevere | 27 | 2 | 12 | 13 | 15:36 | -21 | 18 |
| 18 | Cannara | 28 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19:54 | -35 | 18 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation