Tau Altopascio vs Orvietana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
22/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group E - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Citarella F. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 1, ,
  • 56', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Tau Altopascio
42.4%
Draw
31.7%
Orvietana
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 26.6% 21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3% 25.8% 21%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tau Altopascio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tau Altopascio's form might have worsened.
  • Orvietana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tau Altopascio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orvietana than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Tau Altopascio - Orvietana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (1.77)
    2.85
    (3.43)
    3.48
    (4.2)
    10.7%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
    • Tau is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Orvietana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Tau is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tau won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tau Altopascio - Orvietana were as follows:
    09.11.2025 Orvietana - Tau Altopascio 0:2
    07.01.2024 Tau Altopascio - Orvietana 1:0
    10.09.2023 Orvietana - Tau Altopascio 0:2
    22.01.2023 Tau Altopascio - Orvietana 3:4
    Latest results of Tau Altopascio
    Latest results of Orvietana
    15.03.2026 Trestina - Orvietana 1:1
    01.03.2026 Orvietana - Camaiore 0:2
    22.02.2026 Grosseto - Orvietana 0:1
    15.02.2026 Orvietana - Montevarchi 0:1
    08.02.2026 Foligno - Orvietana 0:0
    Italian Serie D - Group E Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Grosseto34226658:253372
    2Tau34189753:332063
    3Prato34205949:292063
    4Siena34179857:352260
    5Seravezza Pozzi341512742:291357
    6Terranuova Traiana341491128:30-251
    7Foligno341491145:37851
    8Scandicci341115839:32748
    9Montevarchi341016828:32-446
    10Trestina3410121240:42-242
    11San Donato349131230:35-540
    12Ghiviborgo3410101442:44-240
    13Orvietana349111433:37-438
    14Follonica Gavorrano349101536:49-1337
    15Camaiore34981741:54-1335
    16Poggibonsi347101729:46-1731
    17Cannara34682024:59-3526
    18Vivi Altotevere342161620:46-2622

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
          Relegation