Taylor Harry Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
24/03/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
96
Double Faults
16
1st Serve Percentage
64%71%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (32/38)62% (23/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (12/21)53% (8/15)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
46% (17/37)21% (8/38)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (7/15)43% (9/21)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)25% (1/4)
Winners
1618
Unforced Errors
1329
Net Points Won
80% (4/5)78% (7/9)
Service Points Won
75% (44/59)60% (31/52)
Return Points Won
40% (21/52)25% (15/59)
Total Points Won
59% (65/111)41% (46/111)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)38% (8/21)

Chances of winning


Taylor Harry Fritz
66.8%
Denis Shapovalov
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.4% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.5)

    2.84
    (2.59)
    5.3%
    (5.5%)
    What is the prediction for Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 82.1%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fritz is ranked ATP: 4. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 28.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fritz won 3.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • Shapovalov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Fritz is a favorite.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Fritz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:
    06.02.2025 Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov 1:2
    26.03.2023 Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov 2:0
    01.03.2023 Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov 2:0
    26.10.2022 Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz 2:1
    08.10.2022 Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov 2:1
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.0 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.0 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.
    4TBD #7Barrios Vera T. (18)
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21Merida Aguilar D.
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)