Taylor Harry Fritz vs Denis Shapovalov: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

24/03/2025 at 13:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
9	6
Double Faults
1	6
1st Serve Percentage
64%	71%
1st Serve Points Won
84% (32/38)	62% (23/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (12/21)	53% (8/15)
Break Points Saved
75% (3/4)	25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
46% (17/37)	21% (8/38)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (7/15)	43% (9/21)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)	25% (1/4)
Winners
16	18
Unforced Errors
13	29
Net Points Won
80% (4/5)	78% (7/9)
Service Points Won
75% (44/59)	60% (31/52)
Return Points Won
40% (21/52)	25% (15/59)
Total Points Won
59% (65/111)	41% (46/111)
Last 10 Balls
6	4
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)	70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)	9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
62% (13/21)	38% (8/21)

Chances of winning

Taylor Harry Fritz
66.8%

Denis Shapovalov
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+2%)

Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.5)		2.84 ↑ (2.59)	5.3% (5.5%)

What is the prediction for Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov?

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 24 - 92.3%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 82.1% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Fritz is ranked ATP: 4. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 28.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fritz won 3.
One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
Shapovalov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Fritz is a favorite.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Fritz won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Taylor Harry Fritz won against Denis Shapovalov?

Taylor Harry Fritz has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Taylor Harry Fritz?

Denis Shapovalov has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov were as follows:

06.02.2025 Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov 1:2

26.03.2023 Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov 2:0

01.03.2023 Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov 2:0

26.10.2022 Denis Shapovalov - Taylor Harry Fritz 2:1

08.10.2022 Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov 2:1

Latest results of Taylor Harry Fritz

22.03.2025 Taylor Harry Fritz - Lorenzo Sonego 2:0 ✺

12.03.2025 Jack Draper - Taylor Harry Fritz 2:0 ✺

10.03.2025 Alejandro Tabilo - Taylor Harry Fritz 1:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Matteo Gigante - Taylor Harry Fritz 0:2 ✺

14.02.2025 Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Denis Shapovalov

22.03.2025 Thiago Augustin Tirante - Denis Shapovalov 1:2 ✺

10.03.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2 ✺

08.03.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Adam Walton 2:0 ✺

28.02.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina 0:2 ✺

27.02.2025 Denis Shapovalov - Marcos Giron 2:1 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Bonzi B.	Fearnley J. (Q)	1 : 2
3	Thompson J.	Giron M.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)
5	Fils A. (17)	Bye
6	Diallo G. (LL)	Etcheverry T. M.	2 : 0
7	Struff J-L.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
8	Bye	Tiafoe F. (16)
9	Rune H. (11)	Bye
10	Eubanks C. (WC)	Opelka R. (PR)	0 : 2
11	Arnaldi M.	Wu Y. (WC)	2 : 1
12	Bye	Machac T. (20)
13	Popyrin A. (25)	Bye
14	Safiullin R.	Brooksby J. (PR)	2 : 1
15	Bautista-Agut R.	Mensik J.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Draper J. (6)
17	Fritz T. (3)	Bye
18	Sonego L.	Navone M.	2 : 0
19	Tirante T. A. (Q)	Cobolli F.	2 : 1
20	Bye	Shapovalov D. (27)
21	Walton A. (LL)	Bye
22	Martinez P.	Darderi L.	0 : 2
23	Wong C. (WC)	Altmaier D.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Shelton B. (13)
25	De Minaur A. (10)	Bye
26	Bu Y.	Norrie C.	2 : 0
27	Fonseca J.	Tien L.	2 : 1
28	Bye	Humbert U. (19)
29	Berrettini M. (29)	Bye
30	Gaston H. (LL)	Nishioka Y. (RET.)	1 : 0
31	Bergs Z.	Borges N.	2 : 0
32	Bye	Rublev A. (8)
33	Medvedev D. (7)	Bye
34	Rinderknech A.	Munar J.	0 : 2
35	Monfils G.	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
36	Bye	Lehecka J. (26)
37	Korda S. (24)	Bye
38	Spizzirri E. (WC)	Harris B. (Q)	2 : 1
39	Tseng C. H. (Q)	Bellucci M.	2 : 0
40	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (9)
41	Musetti L. (15)	Bye
42	Seyboth Wild T.	Halys Q.	0 : 2
43	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Quinn E. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Bye	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)
45	Michelsen A. (32)	Bye
46	Ugo Carabelli C. (LL)	Holt B. (Q)	2 : 1
47	Hijikata R.	Medjedovic H.	2 : 1
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Ruud C. (5)	Bye
50	Kovacevic A.	Kecmanovic M.	0 : 2
51	Blockx A. (Q)	Moutet C.	0 : 2
52	Bye	Tabilo A. (30)
53	Cerundolo F. (23)	Bye
54	Muller A.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
55	Bublik A.	Baez S.	2 : 0
56	Bye	Paul T. (12)
57	Dimitrov G. (14)	Bye
58	Comesana F. (Q)	Cina F. (WC)	0 : 2
59	McDonald M. (Q)	Kyrgios N. (PR)	1 : 2
60	Bye	Khachanov K. (22)
61	Nakashima B. (31)	Bye
62	O'Connell C. (Q)	Carballes Baena R.	1 : 2
63	Vukic A.	Goffin D.	1 : 2
64	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fearnley J.	2 : 0
2	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (28)	2 : 0
3	Fils A. (17)	Diallo G. (RET.)	1 : 0
4	Davidovich Fokina A.	Tiafoe F. (16)	0 : 2
5	Rune H. (11)	Opelka R.	1 : 2
6	Arnaldi M.	Machac T. (20)	1 : 2
7	Popyrin A. (25)	Safiullin R.	1 : 2
8	Mensik J.	Draper J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Fritz T. (3)	Sonego L.	2 : 0
10	Tirante T. A.	Shapovalov D. (27)	1 : 2
11	Walton A. (LL)	Darderi L.	2 : 0
12	Wong C.	Shelton B. (13)	2 : 1
13	De Minaur A. (10)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
14	Fonseca J.	Humbert U. (19)	2 : 0
15	Berrettini M. (29)	Gaston H.	2 : 1
16	Bergs Z.	Rublev A. (8)	2 : 0
17	Medvedev D. (7)	Munar J.	0 : 2
18	Monfils G.	Lehecka J. (26)	2 : 1
19	Korda S. (24)	Spizzirri E.	2 : 0
20	Tseng C. H.	Tsitsipas S. (9)	1 : 2
21	Musetti L. (15)	Halys Q.	2 : 1
22	Schoolkate T.	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	0 : 2
23	Michelsen A. (32)	Ugo Carabelli C.	1 : 2
24	Hijikata R.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Ruud C. (5)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
26	Moutet C.	Tabilo A. (30)	1 : 2
27	Cerundolo F. (23)	Muller A.	2 : 0
28	Bublik A.	Paul T. (12)	1 : 2
29	Dimitrov G. (14)	Cina F.	2 : 0
30	Kyrgios N.	Khachanov K. (22)	0 : 2
31	Nakashima B. (31)	Carballes Baena R.	2 : 1
32	Goffin D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	2 : 1

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
2	Fils A. (17)	Tiafoe F. (16)	2 : 1
3	Opelka R.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
4	Safiullin R.	Mensik J.	0 : 2
5	Fritz T. (3)	Shapovalov D. (27)	2 : 0
6	Walton A.	Wong C.	2 : 1
7	De Minaur A. (10)	Fonseca J.	2 : 1
8	Berrettini M. (29)	Bergs Z.	2 : 0
9	Munar J.	Monfils G.	1 : 2
10	Korda S. (24)	Tsitsipas S. (9)	2 : 0
11	Musetti L. (15)	Auger-Aliassime F. (18)	2 : 1
12	Ugo Carabelli C.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
13	Ruud C. (5)	Tabilo A. (30)	2 : 0
14	Cerundolo F. (23)	Paul T. (12)	2 : 0
15	Dimitrov G. (14)	Khachanov K. (22)	2 : 1
16	Nakashima B. (31)	Goffin D.	2 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Fils A. (17)	1 : 2
2	Machac T. (20)	Mensik J. (WO.)
3	Fritz T. (3)	Walton A.	2 : 0
4	De Minaur A. (10)	Berrettini M. (29)	0 : 2
5	Monfils G.	Korda S. (24)	1 : 2
6	Musetti L. (15)	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
7	Ruud C. (5)	Cerundolo F. (23)	0 : 2
8	Dimitrov G. (14)	Nakashima B. (31)	2 : 0

Quarter-finals

1	Fils A. (17)	Mensik J.	0 : 2
2	Fritz T. (3)	Berrettini M. (29)	2 : 1
3	Korda S. (24)	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Cerundolo F. (23)	Dimitrov G. (14)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Mensik J.	Fritz T. (3)	2 : 1
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Dimitrov G. (14)	2 : 0

Final

1

Mensik J.

Djokovic N. (4)

2 : 0

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