Taylor Harry Fritz vs Matteo Berrettini – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/03/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
1617
Double Faults
30
1st Serve Percentage
76%78%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (62/78)75% (72/96)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (15/24)37% (10/27)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)73% (8/11)
1st Return Points Won
25% (24/96)21% (16/78)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (17/27)38% (9/24)
Break Points Converted
27% (3/11)20% (1/5)
Winners
3841
Unforced Errors
2535
Net Points Won
69% (9/13)64% (7/11)
Service Points Won
75% (77/102)67% (82/123)
Return Points Won
33% (41/123)25% (25/102)
Total Points Won
52% (118/225)48% (107/225)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
06
Service Games Won
94% (17/18)83% (15/18)
Return Games Won
17% (3/18)6% (1/18)
Total Games Won
56% (20/36)44% (16/36)

Chances of winning


Taylor Harry Fritz
65.9%
Matteo Berrettini
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Taylor Harry Fritz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taylor Harry Fritz's performance.
  • Matteo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Berrettini might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.57)

    2.78
    (2.4)
    5.4%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini?
  • Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 33 - 76.7%). Berrettini will win (votes: 10 - 23.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 64.1%89.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Fritz is ranked ATP: 4. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 30.
    • Fritz is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Berrettini is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Fritz will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Fritz won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:2 (average 2.2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini were as follows:
    28.08.2024 Matteo Berrettini - Taylor Harry Fritz 0:3
    08.01.2023 Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini 2:0
    Latest results of Taylor Harry Fritz
    Latest results of Matteo Berrettini
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)2 : 0
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.2 : 0
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.2 : 0
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)0 : 2
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.2 : 0
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)2 : 0
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.2 : 1
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)2 : 1
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)2 : 0
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)0 : 2

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)2 : 1
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)2 : 1
    3Tirante T. A. (3)Landaluce M.1 : 2
    4Vukic A. (4)Barrios Vera T. (18)0 : 2
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.2 : 1
    6Walton A. (6)Hijikata R. (19)2 : 1
    7Bellucci M. (7)Cassone M.2 : 1
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)2 : 0
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)1 : 2
    10Fery A.Bu Y.2 : 1
    11Svajda Z. (11)Merida Aguilar D.2 : 1
    12Jodar R. (12)Bonzi B. (15)2 : 0