Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Tokyo, hard - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Germany | Sky Sport Tennis |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 64% | 63% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 87% (45/52) | 78% (59/76) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 41% (12/29) | 48% (21/44) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 86% (6/7) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (18/76) | 17% (9/52) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 59% (17/29) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 60% (3/5) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 70% (57/81) | 67% (80/120) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (40/120) | 30% (24/81) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (97/201) | 52% (104/201) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 94% (15/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (12/30) | 60% (18/30) |
Chances of winning
Sebastian Korda
30.3% | Taylor Harry Fritz
69.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Sebastian Korda - Taylor Harry Fritz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↓
(3.46) |
|
1.38 ↑
(1.31) |
4.5%
(5.2%) | |
What is the prediction for Sebastian Korda - Taylor Harry Fritz?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Fritz will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Korda (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fritz (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Korda is ranked ATP: 74. Fritz is ranked ATP: 5.
- Recent performances by Korda have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fritz is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Korda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fritz is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Fritz will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Korda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Korda won against Taylor Harry Fritz?
Sebastian Korda has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Taylor Harry Fritz won against Sebastian Korda?
Taylor Harry Fritz has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Korda - Taylor Harry Fritz were as follows:
10.08.2024
Sebastian Korda
-
Taylor Harry Fritz
2:0
12.05.2024
Taylor Harry Fritz
-
Sebastian Korda
2:0
Latest results of Sebastian Korda
Latest results of Taylor Harry Fritz
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Baez S. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bergs Z. | Tabilo A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Thompson J. | Nakashima B. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Fucsovics M. (Q) | Tiafoe F. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Ruud C. (4) | Mochizuki S. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Munar J. | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Dzumhur D. | Vukic A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Altmaier D. | Shapovalov D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Humbert U. (6) | Brooksby J. (PR) | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Nishioka Y. (WC) | Darderi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. | Quinn E. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Medjedovic H. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Machac T. (5) | Shimabukuro S. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Giron M. | Korda S. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Watanuki Y. (WC) | Borges N. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Diallo G. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Bergs Z. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakashima B. | Fucsovics M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Ruud C. (4) | Berrettini M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vukic A. | Altmaier D. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Brooksby J. | Darderi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Quinn E. | Rune H. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. | Korda S. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Borges N. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Nakashima B. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ruud C. (4) | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Brooksby J. | Rune H. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Korda S. | Fritz T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Ruud C. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Brooksby J. | Fritz T. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Alcaraz C. (1) | Fritz T. (2) | |
