Result
0:1
27/07/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 22
- Referee: Cajas A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.23 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (322/415) | 62% (117/189) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 1.23 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (322/415) | 62% (117/189) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/64) | 33% (20/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (61/110) | 55% (56/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (5/33) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Minda T. ⚽, Vera D. (A),
- 40', Verges J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Perea M. ↓, Luzarraga R. ↑,
- 46', Olmedo M. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
- 46', Penilla C. ↓, Burbano R. ↑,
- 54', Patta E. 🟨,
- 61', Minda T. ↓, Andrade J. ↑,
- 61', Orejuela C. ↓, Arce J. ↑,
- 62', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
- 73', Verges J. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 75', Jimenez J. ↓, Cuero Fabian ↑,
- 76', Luzarraga R. 🟨,
- 83', Dos Santos J. ↓, Simisterra R. ↑,
- 90', Vera D. 🟨,
- 90+4', Vera D. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
- 90+4', Blanco J. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mushuc Runa
40% | Draw
29.1% | Técnico Universitario
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.1) |
3.3 ↑
(3.25) |
3.03 ↓
(3.4) |
4.2%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Técnico Univ will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 1.
- Mushuc Runa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Técnico Univ has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Técnico Univ may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Mushuc Runa could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Técnico Universitario?
Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Mushuc Runa?
Técnico Universitario has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario were as follows:
06.04.2025
Técnico Universitario
-
Mushuc Runa
1:1
30.09.2024
Técnico Universitario
-
Mushuc Runa
2:2
13.04.2024
Mushuc Runa
-
Técnico Universitario
1:2
05.11.2023
Mushuc Runa
-
Técnico Universitario
1:0
27.05.2023
Técnico Universitario
-
Mushuc Runa
1:0
Latest results of Mushuc Runa
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle ✔ | 28 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 53:21 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:32 | 12 | 50 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:26 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 46 |
| 5 | Orense | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 34:32 | 2 | 45 |
| 6 | U. Catolica | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 43 |
| 7 | Libertad | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 40:35 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Aucas | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 38 |
| 9 | Emelec | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 26:34 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Macara | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 28:28 | 0 | 34 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32:37 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Delfin | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 30 |
| 13 | Manta | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 31:45 | -14 | 25 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24:43 | -19 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | -11 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 31:48 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Ind. del Valle is Qualified for Liga Pro (Championship Group )
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
