Mushuc Runa vs Técnico Universitario – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Bellavista (Ambato).

Liga Pro - Relegation Group - Round 5
Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.65	0.39
Ball Possession
42%	58%
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	8
Passes
67% (152/228)	73% (221/301)
Yellow Cards
5	4
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65	0.39
xG on target (xGOT)
0.98	0.15
Total shots
10	6
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
4	2
Blocked Shots
1	2
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
4	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
5	8
Touches in opposition box
12	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
13	10
Passes
67% (152/228)	73% (221/301)
Long passes
45% (25/56)	40% (22/55)
Passes in final third
52% (47/90)	53% (56/106)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	23% (5/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.17	0.45
Throw-ins
9	20
Fouls
10	13
Tackles
70% (16/23)	79% (11/14)
Duels won
63	41
Clearances
40	20
Interceptions
8	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.15	0.98
Goals prevented
0.15	-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Chala Rosales W. J. 🟨,
29', Formento R. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Penilla C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Corozo B. ↓, Cristobal R. ↑,
56', Mina G. 🟨,
59', Blanco J. 🟨,
64', Verges J. ↓, Tapiero S. ↑,
65', Chala Rosales W. J. ↓, Gracia A. ↑,
65', Castro S. ↓, Peralta K. ↑,
65', Minda T. ↓, Andrade J. ↑,
65', Jimenez J. ↓, Castillo A. ↑,
72', Medranda M. 🟨,
78', Herrera O. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
80', Mina G. ↓, Mancilla Quinones J. L. ↑,
82', Castillo A. 🟨,
83', Dos Santos J. 🟨,
89', Vera D. 🟨,
90+2', Burbano R. ↓, Delgado B. ↑,
90+6', Gracia A. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Mushuc Runa
43.4%

Draw
30.7%

Técnico Universitario
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

27.6%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

26.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mushuc Runa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mushuc Runa's form might have worsened.

Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Técnico Universitario's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mushuc Runa than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mushuc Runa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.73)	3.02 ↓ (3.3)	3.63 ↓ (4.65)	7.4% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mushuc Runa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mushuc Runa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Mushuc Runa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mushuc Runa won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:21. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Mushuc Runa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Mushuc Runa won against Técnico Universitario?

Mushuc Runa has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Mushuc Runa?

Técnico Universitario has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario were as follows:

01.11.2025 Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa 0:0

27.07.2025 Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario 0:1

06.04.2025 Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa 1:1

30.09.2024 Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa 2:2

13.04.2024 Mushuc Runa - Técnico Universitario 1:2

Latest results of Mushuc Runa

08.11.2025 Manta - Mushuc Runa 3:0 ✺

01.11.2025 Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa 0:0 ✺

25.10.2025 Mushuc Runa - Manta 1:1 ✺

18.10.2025 Mushuc Runa - Vinotinto 2:1 ✺

27.09.2025 El Nacional - Mushuc Runa 0:5 ✺

Latest results of Técnico Universitario

09.11.2025 Técnico Universitario - Vinotinto 1:1 ✺

01.11.2025 Técnico Universitario - Mushuc Runa 0:0 ✺

26.10.2025 Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario 1:2 ✺

19.10.2025 Manta - Técnico Universitario 2:0 ✺

28.09.2025 Técnico Universitario - LDU Quito 1:3 ✺

Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Ind. del Valle	2	2	0	0	4:0	4	6
2	Macara	2	1	1	0	2:0	2	4
3	Delfin	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
4	Libertad	2	1	1	0	2:1	1	4
5	Dep. Cuenca	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
6	Barcelona SC	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
7	LDU Quito	2	1	0	1	2:3	-1	3
8	Aucas	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2
9	Mushuc Runa	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
10	Leones del Norte	2	0	2	0	1:1	0	2
11	U. Catolica	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
12	Orense	2	0	1	1	2:3	-1	1
13	Tecnico U	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
14	Guayaquil City	2	0	1	1	1:3	-2	1
15	Manta	2	0	0	2	0:3	-3	0
16	Emelec	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	-2

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