Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Relegation Group - Round 4
- Referee: Diaz A. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, Ecuavisa, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (317/375) | 81% (313/388) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (317/375) | 81% (313/388) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (23/47) | 42% (27/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (63/94) | 53% (46/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.88 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Monti R. ⚽, Gomez L. (A),
- 32', Perea M. ↓, Blanco J. ↑,
- 35', 1 - 1, Vera D. ⚽, Cristobal R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 70', Minda T. ↓, Andrade J. ↑,
- 71', Torres E. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
- 75', Lugo J. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
- 83', Ushina K. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 83', Melo A. ↓, Julio M. ↑,
- 83', Vera D. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
- 83', Cristobal R. ↓, Cuero Fabian ↑,
- 90+2', Ibarra R. ↓, Coba K. ↑,
- 90+3', Carcelen Ed. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Técnico Universitario
47.7% | Draw
28.9% | Vinotinto
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Técnico Universitario - Vinotinto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(1.97) |
3.24 ↓
(3.35) |
3.9 ↑
(3.59) |
7.5%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Vinotinto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Técnico Univ might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Técnico Univ won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Técnico Univ won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Vinotinto?
Técnico Universitario has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Técnico Universitario?
Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Técnico Universitario - Vinotinto were as follows:
26.10.2025
Vinotinto
-
Técnico Universitario
1:2
10.08.2025
Vinotinto
-
Técnico Universitario
0:1
20.04.2025
Técnico Universitario
-
Vinotinto
1:3
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Latest results of Vinotinto
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Barcelona SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Delfin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Libertad | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Aucas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Mushuc Runa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Macara | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Leones del Norte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | U. Catolica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Emelec | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Orense | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dep. Cuenca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tecnico U | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Manta | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Guayaquil City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
