Result
0:1
10/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 24
- Referee: Cabrera R. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
Peru | Zapping Sports |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 2.33 |
Ball Possession |
---|
63% | 37% |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (305/375) | 70% (153/219) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 2.33 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.80 | 2.01 |
Total shots |
---|
10 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 18 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
81% (305/375) | 70% (153/219) |
Long passes |
---|
45% (22/49) | 27% (12/44) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (71/108) | 53% (47/89) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (9/29) | 14% (2/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.34 | 0.31 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
8 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (9/13) | 55% (11/20) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 51 |
Clearances |
---|
21 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.01 | 0.80 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.01 | 0.80 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 11', Nardelli G. 🟨,
- 25', Medranda M. 🟨,
- 40', Perez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Perea M. ↓, Luzarraga R. ↑,
- 46', Andrade J. ↓, Vera D. ↑,
- 59', Blanco J. (Pen),
- 62', Julio M. ↓, Larotonda C. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Vera D. (Pen),
- 72', Coba K. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
- 72', Nardelli G. ↓, Lugo J. ↑,
- 84', Luna D. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
- 84', Mina A. ↓, Ushina K. ↑,
- 87', Minda T. ↓, Corozo B. ↑,
- 90+2', Blanco J. ↓, Carabali E. ↑,
- 90+4', Carabali E. 🟨,
- 90+5', Jimenez J. ↓, Cuero Fabian ↑,
Chances of winning
Vinotinto 41.9% | Draw 29.3% | Técnico Universitario 28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vinotinto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vinotinto's form might have worsened.Técnico Universitario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Técnico Universitario's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vinotinto than the current prediction. (+14.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vinotinto, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Técnico Universitario than the current prediction. (-9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Técnico Universitario, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↑ (1.79) |
3.18 ↓ (3.47) |
3.27 ↓ (4.31) |
7.4% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Vinotinto will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Técnico Univ will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Vinotinto has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Técnico Univ is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Técnico Univ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Vinotinto could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vinotinto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vinotinto won against Técnico Universitario?
Vinotinto has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Técnico Universitario won against Vinotinto?
Técnico Universitario has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vinotinto - Técnico Universitario were as follows:
20.04.2025
Técnico Universitario
-
Vinotinto
1:3
Latest results of Vinotinto
Latest results of Técnico Universitario
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )