Sagamihara vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Result
1:0
26/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
67
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
13
Corner Kicks
47
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Takagi A. 🟨,
  • 39', Pytlik K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Tokunaga Y. , Takeuchi T. ,
  • 57', Maeda T. , Muto Y. ,
  • 57', Kawano R. , Sugimoto R. ,
  • 73', Inoue R. , Matsumoto K. ,
  • 75', Nishikubo S. , Fujinuma T. ,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Fujinuma T. ,
  • 78', Kawai T. , Ano M. ,
  • 81', Osako R. , Nishiyama T. ,
  • 87', Sakai S. , Nakano K. ,

Chances of winning


Sagamihara
41.3%
Draw
29.9%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 31% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 31.5% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sagamihara's performance.
  • Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tegevajaro Miyazaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagamihara that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tegevajaro Miyazaki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.8)
    3.05
    (2.99)
    3.17
    (2.59)
    9.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 0.
    • Sagamihara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tegevajaro Miyazaki has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tegevajaro Miyazaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara 4:2
    07.09.2024 Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0:1
    27.04.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara 1:1
    15.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara 2:2
    11.06.2023 Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1:1
    Latest results of Sagamihara
    20.07.2025 Tochigi - Sagamihara 1:2
    06.07.2025 Gifu - Sagamihara 1:1
    Latest results of Tegevajaro Miyazaki
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure29186536:171960
    2Tochigi City29176648:311757
    3Kagoshima Utd29159556:292754
    4Tegevajaro Miyazaki29148742:34850
    5Osaka29147839:271249
    6Nara Club29129839:33645
    7Tochigi SC291271031:28343
    8Giravanz Kitakyushu291241330:29140
    9Kanazawa281151233:34-138
    10Fukushima Utd291081148:59-1138
    11Sagamihara299101029:39-1037
    12Yamaga28991031:32-136
    13Gainare Tottori291061328:32-436
    14Gifu29981236:41-535
    15Ryukyu29971331:38-734
    16Kochi United29971337:50-1334
    17Nagano29781425:39-1429
    18Kusatsu296101338:46-828
    19Kamatamare29771534:42-828
    20Azul Claro Numazu29491631:42-1121

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation