Sagamihara vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Result
1:0
26/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
67
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
13
Corner Kicks
47
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 34', Takagi A. 🟨,
  • 39', Pytlik K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 57', Tokunaga Y. , Takeuchi T. ,
  • 57', Maeda T. , Muto Y. ,
  • 57', Kawano R. , Sugimoto R. ,
  • 73', Inoue R. , Matsumoto K. ,
  • 75', Nishikubo S. , Fujinuma T. ,
  • 75', 1 - 0, Fujinuma T. ,
  • 78', Kawai T. , Ano M. ,
  • 81', Osako R. , Nishiyama T. ,
  • 87', Sakai S. , Nakano K. ,

Chances of winning


Sagamihara
41.3%
Draw
29.9%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.1% 31% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 31.5% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sagamihara's performance.
  • Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tegevajaro Miyazaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sagamihara that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tegevajaro Miyazaki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.8)
    3.05
    (2.99)
    3.17
    (2.59)
    9.6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 0.
    • Sagamihara is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tegevajaro Miyazaki has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tegevajaro Miyazaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sagamihara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki were as follows:
    07.06.2025 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara 4:2
    07.09.2024 Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0:1
    27.04.2024 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara 1:1
    15.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara 2:2
    11.06.2023 Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1:1
    Latest results of Sagamihara
    20.07.2025 Tochigi - Sagamihara 1:2
    06.07.2025 Gifu - Sagamihara 1:1
    Latest results of Tegevajaro Miyazaki
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure23154432:151749
    2Tochigi City23136435:221345
    3Osaka23135535:181744
    4Kagoshima Utd23118440:251541
    5Tegevajaro Miyazaki23108531:25638
    6Nara Club23107630:25537
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu231031025:24133
    8Gainare Tottori23941023:25-231
    9Kochi United2387833:37-431
    10Yamaga2386926:28-230
    11Tochigi SC23851020:23-329
    12Fukushima Utd2377937:49-1228
    13Kusatsu2369832:34-227
    14Ryukyu23761023:26-327
    15Sagamihara2369823:30-727
    16Kanazawa23751125:30-526
    17Nagano23661117:26-924
    18Kamatamare23561222:29-721
    19Gifu23481125:37-1220
    20Azul Claro Numazu23391124:30-618

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation