Result
1:3
14/09/2025 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 5
- Referee: Vos M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 1, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.14 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (379/460) | 78% (290/372) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (379/460) | 78% (290/372) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (28/58) | 37% (26/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (116/158) | 55% (38/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (7/24) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 6 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.28 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 0 - 1, Gladon P. ⚽, Dahlhaus J. (A),
- 43', 1 - 1, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
- 45', Buijs D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. 🟨,
- 62', Peterson K. ↓, Aiko M. ↑,
- 62', Gladon P. ↓, Sierhuis K. ↑,
- 62', Ihattaren M. ↓, Mendes H. ↑,
- 62', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 76', Rossen N. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 76', Koswal D. ↓, Zonneveld M. ↑,
- 78', Lonwijk J. ↓, Gbemou M. ↑,
- 83', 1 - 2, Aiko M. ⚽, Limnios D. (A),
- 87', Brouwer P. ↓, Ogidi Nwankwo N. ↑,
- 87', Noslin T. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Aiko M. ⚽,
- 90+1', Fosso R. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Telstar
41.9% | Draw
27.6% | Fortuna Sittard
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+2%)
Telstar - Fortuna Sittard Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↓
(2.4) |
3.42 ↓
(3.48) |
3.06 ↑
(2.92) |
5.2%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Telstar - Fortuna Sittard?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Telstar: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Telstar (votes: 3 - 50%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Fortuna Sittard (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - Fortuna Sittard (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Telstar (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Fortuna Sittard (votes: 4 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Telstar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Telstar: Hamdaoui M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bastien S.
(Illness)
Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Halilovic A.
(Ankle Injury)
Hubner J.
(Injury)
Sierhuis K.
(Inactive)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
van Ottele S.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fortuna Sittard: Aiko M.
(Inactive)
Michut E.
(Inactive)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Telstar won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Telstar won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Fortuna Sittard?
Telstar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Telstar?
Fortuna Sittard has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - Fortuna Sittard were as follows:
Latest results of Telstar
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 70:29 | 41 | 62 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 55:33 | 22 | 48 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 24 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 59:40 | 19 | 43 |
| 4 | Ajax | 24 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 43 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:38 | 4 | 39 |
| 6 | Twente | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 39:26 | 13 | 38 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:40 | -9 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 36:31 | 5 | 31 |
| 9 | Groningen | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 40:42 | -2 | 31 |
| 11 | Sittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 36:43 | -7 | 29 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | -2 | 26 |
| 14 | Excelsior | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 26:41 | -15 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 24 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 28:41 | -13 | 18 |
| 18 | Heracles | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 31:62 | -31 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
