Result
1:4
08/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 26
- Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 2.64 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (310/390) | 70% (195/279) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 2.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
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| 2.33 | 4.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
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| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 4 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
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| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
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| 5 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
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| 32 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
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| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
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| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (310/390) | 70% (195/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/59) | 48% (30/63) |
| Passes in final third |
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| 67% (101/151) | 55% (49/89) |
| Crosses |
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| 14% (4/29) | 39% (7/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
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| 1.82 | 1.80 |
| Throw ins |
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| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
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| 56% (14/25) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
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| 77 | 49 |
| Clearances |
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| 25 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
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| 4.11 | 2.33 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Brouwer P. ⚽,
- 7', 0 - 2, Thorisson N. ⚽, Hardeveld J. (A),
- 22', 1 - 2, Sierhuis K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Brittijn P. ↓, Oukili Y. ↑,
- 46', Pinto I. ↓, Kasanwirjo N. ↑,
- 46', Owusu T. ↓, Koswal D. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 3, Brouwer P. ⚽, van Duijn S. (A),
- 51', Hubner J. ↓, Peterson K. ↑,
- 54', Kasanwirjo N. 🟨,
- 65', 1 - 4, Bakker D. ⚽,
- 69', van Duijn S. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 69', Brouwer P. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
- 72', Ihattaren M. ↓, Gladon P. ↑,
- 72', Duijvestijn L. ↓, Tunjic L. ↑,
- 74', Thorisson N. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
- 75', Seedorf J. 🟨,
- 86', Noslin T. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortuna Sittard
41.1% | Draw
26.4% | Telstar
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortuna Sittard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fortuna Sittard's form might have worsened.Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Telstar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Sittard than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fortuna Sittard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Telstar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fortuna Sittard - Telstar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(1.97) |
3.59 ↑
(3.42) |
2.92 ↓
(3.63) |
5.2%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard - Telstar?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Telstar will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna Sittard: 30.4% – 86.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Fortuna Sittard (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Telstar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fortuna Sittard could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Fortuna Sittard: Bayram R.
(Knee Injury)
Branderhorst M.
(Injury)
Lonwijk J.
(Muscle Injury)
Sinkgraven D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Telstar: Lechkar A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Telstar: Alders G.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Fortuna Sittard won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.5:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fortuna Sittard won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fortuna Sittard won against Telstar?
Fortuna Sittard has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Fortuna Sittard?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard - Telstar were as follows:
14.09.2025
Telstar
-
Fortuna Sittard
1:3
Latest results of Fortuna Sittard
Latest results of Telstar
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 77:34 | 43 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 60:39 | 21 | 52 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 67:45 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Ajax | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 52:34 | 18 | 47 |
| 5 | Twente | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 45:29 | 16 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 47:44 | 3 | 40 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 |
| 10 | Groningen | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:37 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Sittard | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 42:50 | -8 | 35 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 45:43 | 2 | 32 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 36:52 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:46 | -16 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 32:69 | -37 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
