Result
1:1
23/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 13
- Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (291/370) | 80% (399/497) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (291/370) | 80% (399/497) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (19/42) | 58% (37/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (82/117) | 72% (100/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 30% (8/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.38 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | -0.62 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Lechkar A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 0, Hetli S. ⚽, Offerhaus G. (A),
- 59', Hardeveld J. ↓, Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↑,
- 59', Lechkar A. ↓, Noslin T. ↑,
- 64', Haller S. 🟨,
- 66', Engwanda A. 🟨,
- 70', Offerhaus G. 🟨,
- 72', Cathline Y. ↓, Blake A. ↑,
- 72', Rodriguez M. ↓, Demircan E. ↑,
- 72', Haller S. ↓, Min D. ↑,
- 79', Ogidi Nwankwo N. ↓, Mertens D. ↑,
- 79', Rossen N. ↓, Malone D. ↑,
- 85', Zechiel G. ↓, Bozdogan C. ↑,
- 86', Viergever N. ↓, van der Hoorn M. ↑,
- 88', Hetli S. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, Bozdogan C. ⚽, Engwanda A. (A),
Chances of winning
Telstar
28.4% | Draw
25.8% | Utrecht
45.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Telstar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Utrecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+2%)
Telstar - Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.32 ↓
(3.39) |
3.68 ↓
(3.72) |
2.1 ↑
(2.02) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Telstar - Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Telstar will win (votes: 3 - 13%). Utrecht will win (votes: 18 - 78.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 61.5% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Utrecht will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Utrecht will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Utrecht?
Telstar has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Telstar?
Utrecht has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Telstar - Utrecht were as follows:
Latest results of Telstar
Latest results of Utrecht
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 28 | 22 | 2 | 4 | 78:37 | 41 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 61:40 | 21 | 53 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 69:47 | 22 | 50 |
| 4 | Ajax | 28 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 53:35 | 18 | 48 |
| 5 | Twente | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 47:45 | 2 | 42 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 42:31 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 49:46 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35:47 | -12 | 41 |
| 10 | Groningen | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Sittard | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 43:52 | -9 | 35 |
| 12 | Zwolle | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 38:53 | -15 | 33 |
| 13 | G.A. Eagles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 45:45 | 0 | 32 |
| 14 | Telstar | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 38:46 | -8 | 27 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30:48 | -18 | 27 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 29:47 | -18 | 27 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:50 | -21 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 28 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 33:70 | -37 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
