Result
4:1
11/04/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 30
- Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.32 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (237/299) | 85% (377/442) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (237/299) | 85% (377/442) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/59) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (52/78) | 71% (107/150) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 1.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 89% (17/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 3.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | -1.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', 1 - 0, Didden M. ⚽, de Wit D. (A),
- 38', El Karouani S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 48', Ogidi Nwankwo N. 🟨,
- 58', 1 - 1, Bakker D. ⚽, Hatenboer C. (A),
- 61', 2 - 1, Zechiel G. ⚽, Cathline Y. (A),
- 63', Ritmeester van de Kamp J. ↓, Rossen N. ↑,
- 67', de Wit D. 🟨,
- 72', 3 - 1, de Wit D. ⚽,
- 76', van Duijn S. ↓, Oudsten R. ↑,
- 76', Noslin T. ↓, Hetli S. ↑,
- 76', Alarcon A. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
- 84', Hatenboer C. ↓, Tejan K. ↑,
- 84', Brouwer P. ↓, Seedorf J. ↑,
- 87', Zechiel G. ↓, Horemans S. ↑,
- 90', Stepanov A. ↓, Haller S. ↑,
- 90', El Karouani S. ↓, Adiele E. ↑,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Karlsson J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Utrecht
59.2% | Draw
23.6% | Telstar
17.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Telstar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrecht than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telstar than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Utrecht - Telstar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↑
(1.59) |
4.09 ↑
(3.9) |
5.53 ↑
(5.37) |
4.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Utrecht - Telstar?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Utrecht will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Utrecht: 29% – 96%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).
- Utrecht is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Telstar has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Utrecht is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Utrecht: Eerdhuijzen M.
(Thigh Injury)
Jensen V.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Knee Injury)
van Ommeren J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Telstar: Lechkar A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ogidi Nwankwo N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Telstar: Malone D.
(Inactive)
Thorisson N.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Utrecht won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Utrecht won against Telstar?
Utrecht has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Telstar won against Utrecht?
Telstar has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Utrecht - Telstar were as follows:
23.11.2025
Telstar
-
Utrecht
1:1
Latest results of Utrecht
Latest results of Telstar
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 0 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Waalwijk | Willem II | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Almere City | De Graafschap | 3 : 1 |
Semi-finalsFinal
