Almería vs Tenerife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 42
  • Referee: Ais S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar+ Lite
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.30
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
81% (273/337)83% (372/446)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.23
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
189
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
119
Passes
81% (273/337)83% (372/446)
Long passes
52% (22/42)44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
75% (51/68)69% (68/99)
Crosses
22% (2/9)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.25
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
911
Tackles
73% (16/22)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5830
Clearances
2212
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.230.93
Goals prevented
0.23-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Puigmal A. , Arribas S. (A),
  • 18', Landazuri A. , Medrano F. ,
  • 28', Martin Luis A. 🟨,
  • 33', Medrano F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Cruz Luismi 🟨,
  • 53', Sanz A. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Arribas S. ,
  • 59', Clua Oya S. , Melero G. ,
  • 59', Puigmal A. , Melamed N. ,
  • 62', Cruz Luismi , Enric ,
  • 62', Sanz A. , Cantero A. ,
  • 63', Mesa M. , Fernandez D. ,
  • 68', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 71', Carrasco S. 🟨,
  • 76', Martin Luis A. , Teto A. ,
  • 79', Leo Baptistao , Lazaro ,
  • 80', Suarez L. , Marezi ,
  • 87', Lopy D. , Fidel Cedillo Segura P. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/58ne3mvu

Chances of winning


Almería
71%
Draw
18.5%
Tenerife
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 22.4% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 22% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almería's performance.
  • Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tenerife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almería that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Almería - Tenerife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.54)
    5.08
    (4.2)
    8.99
    (5.72)
    6.5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Almería - Tenerife?
  • Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 45 - 91.8%). Tenerife will win (votes: 2 - 4.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 4.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 84.1%99.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -2 - Tenerife (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Almería (1.20) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Almería (1.48) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Almería (1.24) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Tenerife (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Tenerife (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Almería will win (23 of 23 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 36 high ROI users predict this event. Almería (votes: 32 - 88.9%). Tenerife (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Tenerife is Relegated to
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 5.
    • Almería is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tenerife's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Almería is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Leon J. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almería won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Tenerife were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Tenerife - Almería 0:1
    Latest results of Almería
    25.05.2025 Mirandés - Almería 0:0
    09.05.2025 Cádiz - Almería 2:1
    04.05.2025 Almería - Eldense 5:0
    29.04.2025 Almería - Ferrol 2:1
    Latest results of Tenerife
    25.05.2025 Tenerife - Real Oviedo 0:1
    17.05.2025 Cartagena - Tenerife 1:0
    11.05.2025 Tenerife - Ferrol 0:0
    04.05.2025 Levante - Tenerife 1:1
    27.04.2025 Tenerife - Eibar 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander27155753:351850
    2Castellon27147645:261949
    3Almeria27146752:391348
    4Dep. La Coruna27137741:291246
    5Malaga27135940:31944
    6Las Palmas271012531:22942
    7Cordoba27118837:33441
    8Gijon271251038:36241
    9Ceuta271251035:39-441
    10Burgos CF27117929:26340
    11Eibar27981028:29-135
    12Cadiz CF27981028:32-435
    13Real Sociedad B27971136:36034
    14Albacete27971132:38-634
    15Leganes27891029:28133
    16Granada CF27711932:32032
    17Andorra27881131:39-832
    18Huesca27861326:36-1030
    19Valladolid27781228:38-1029
    20Cultural Leonesa27761427:41-1427
    21Mirandes27661528:44-1624
    22Zaragoza27591323:40-1724

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation