Almería vs Tenerife – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
01/06/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 42
  • Referee: Ais S. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports, DSPORTS+ Plus
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
chileChileDirecTV Sports
ecuadorEcuadorDirecTV Sports
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDirecTV Sports Caribbean
peruPeruDirecTV Sports
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar+ Lite
uruguayUruguayDirecTV Sports
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDirecTV Sports, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.30
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
81% (273/337)83% (372/446)
Yellow Cards
15
Expected Goals (xG)
1.530.30
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.23
Total shots
1510
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
105
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
189
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
05
Free Kicks
119
Passes
81% (273/337)83% (372/446)
Long passes
52% (22/42)44% (21/48)
Passes in final third
75% (51/68)69% (68/99)
Crosses
22% (2/9)26% (5/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.720.25
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
911
Tackles
73% (16/22)55% (6/11)
Duels won
5830
Clearances
2212
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.230.93
Goals prevented
0.23-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Puigmal A. , Arribas S. (A),
  • 18', Landazuri A. , Medrano F. ,
  • 28', Martin Luis A. 🟨,
  • 33', Medrano F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Cruz Luismi 🟨,
  • 53', Sanz A. 🟨,
  • 58', 2 - 0, Arribas S. ,
  • 59', Clua Oya S. , Melero G. ,
  • 59', Puigmal A. , Melamed N. ,
  • 62', Cruz Luismi , Enric ,
  • 62', Sanz A. , Cantero A. ,
  • 63', Mesa M. , Fernandez D. ,
  • 68', Lopy D. 🟨,
  • 71', Carrasco S. 🟨,
  • 76', Martin Luis A. , Teto A. ,
  • 79', Leo Baptistao , Lazaro ,
  • 80', Suarez L. , Marezi ,
  • 87', Lopy D. , Fidel Cedillo Segura P. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/58ne3mvu

Chances of winning


Almería
71%
Draw
18.5%
Tenerife
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 22.4% 16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3% 22% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almería's performance.
  • Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tenerife might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almería that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Almería - Tenerife Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.54)
    5.08
    (4.2)
    8.99
    (5.72)
    6.5%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Almería - Tenerife?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -2 - Tenerife (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Almería (1.20) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1 - Almería (1.48) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Almería (1.24) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Tenerife (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Tenerife (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Almería will win (45 of 49 users predict this - 91.84%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 84.17%99.51%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almería will win (23 of 23 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 32 - 88.9%). Tenerife (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 20 in the zone Relegation).
    • Tenerife is Relegated to
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 5.
    • Almería is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tenerife's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Almería is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Leon J. (Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Almería won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:12. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Almería - Tenerife were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Tenerife - Almería 0:1
    Latest results of Almería
    25.05.2025 Mirandés - Almería 0:0
    09.05.2025 Cádiz - Almería 2:1
    04.05.2025 Almería - Eldense 5:0
    29.04.2025 Almería - Ferrol 2:1
    Latest results of Tenerife
    25.05.2025 Tenerife - Real Oviedo 0:1
    17.05.2025 Cartagena - Tenerife 1:0
    11.05.2025 Tenerife - Ferrol 0:0
    04.05.2025 Levante - Tenerife 1:1
    27.04.2025 Tenerife - Eibar 1:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander372161075:552069
    2Almeria372071074:561867
    3Dep. La Coruna371811857:401765
    4Castellon371810964:461864
    5Las Palmas371712849:311863
    6Burgos CF3717101044:331161
    7Eibar3717101045:321361
    8Malaga371791162:471560
    9Andorra3715101256:47955
    10Cordoba371591352:55-354
    11Gijon371571550:47352
    12Ceuta371491444:57-1351
    13Albacete3712111448:51-347
    14Granada CF3711121447:49-245
    15Valladolid3711101640:48-843
    16Leganes3710121540:44-442
    17Real Sociedad B371181846:54-841
    18Cadiz CF371081934:53-1938
    19Huesca37991937:55-1836
    20Mirandes37991940:60-2036
    21Zaragoza378111833:50-1735
    22Cultural Leonesa37882133:60-2732

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation