Tenerife vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
21/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
64
Shots on target
02
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
64
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, de Miguel J. ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 45+4', Landazuri A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sanz A. , Calavera J. ,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Enric ,
  • 65', Munoz D. , Camus M. ,
  • 65', Guerrero A. , Moreno C. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 69', Manjam A. , Leon J. ,
  • 69', Landazuri A. , Fernandez D. ,
  • 75', Perez A. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 75', Ramos J. , Castillo N. ,
  • 77', de Miguel J. 🟨,
  • 79', Enric , Mesa M. ,
  • 85', Ouhdadi O. , Punzano I. ,
  • 88', Gil N. , Lopez N. ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 0, Mesa M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Tenerife
68.4%
Draw
21%
Ourense CF
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 26.3% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 25% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.
  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense CF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Tenerife - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.58)
    4.48
    (3.45)
    8.8
    (5.6)
    7.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Tenerife has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ourense CF has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tenerife is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Tenerife will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Tenerife
    14.09.2025 Pontevedra - Tenerife 0:2
    06.09.2025 Tenerife - Mérida AD 3:0
    31.08.2025 CD Guadalajara - Tenerife 0:2
    15.08.2025 Marino - Tenerife 0:5
    02.08.2025 Tenerife - Las Palmas 1:1
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    10.09.2025 Laredo - Ourense CF 1:5
    07.09.2025 Osasuna B - Ourense CF 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife28186449:173260
    2Celta Vigo B28148643:35850
    3Ath Bilbao B28127930:30043
    4Barakaldo281110738:29943
    5Pontevedra271012532:201242
    6Zamora28119836:31542
    7Real Madrid B281261038:36242
    8Lugo281011727:27041
    9Racing Club Ferrol281251134:33141
    10Ponferradina281171028:23540
    11AD Merida281171037:38-140
    12Unionistas281081037:36138
    13Arenas Getxo271041331:38-734
    14Real Aviles28961340:48-833
    15Ourense CF28881231:33-232
    16Guadalajara28871330:41-1131
    17CF Talavera28861429:38-930
    18Cacereno286111126:37-1129
    19Arenteiro28671525:36-1125
    20Osasuna B28591418:33-1524

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