Result
3:0
21/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, de Miguel J. ⚽,
- 36', 🟨,
- 45+4', Landazuri A. 🟨,
- 45+6', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Sanz A. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
- 51', 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 0, Enric ⚽,
- 65', Munoz D. ↓, Camus M. ↑,
- 65', Guerrero A. ↓, Moreno C. ↑,
- 67', 🟨,
- 69', Manjam A. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
- 69', Landazuri A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
- 75', Perez A. ↓, Vazquez K. ↑,
- 75', Ramos J. ↓, Castillo N. ↑,
- 77', de Miguel J. 🟨,
- 79', Enric ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
- 85', Ouhdadi O. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
- 88', Gil N. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 0, Mesa M. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Tenerife
68.4% | Draw
21% | Ourense CF
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense CF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Tenerife - Ourense CF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.58) |
4.48 ↑
(3.45) |
8.8 ↑
(5.6) |
7.8%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Tenerife has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Ourense CF has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tenerife is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that Tenerife will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Tenerife won against Ourense CF?
Tenerife has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Tenerife?
Ourense CF has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tenerife - Ourense CF were as follows:
Latest results of Tenerife
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 51:18 | 33 | 65 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 47:42 | 5 | 54 |
| 3 | Ponferradina | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 35:25 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Barakaldo | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 40:32 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Real Madrid B | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46:41 | 5 | 46 |
| 6 | Zamora | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 42:37 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Pontevedra | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 35:23 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Lugo | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 45 |
| 9 | Unionistas | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 44:42 | 2 | 44 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao B | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 44 |
| 11 | AD Merida | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 41:44 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Racing Club Ferrol | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 45:53 | -8 | 37 |
| 15 | CF Talavera | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 32:40 | -8 | 35 |
| 16 | Guadalajara | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 35:46 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Ourense CF | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 18 | Cacereno | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 31 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28:42 | -14 | 26 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
