Tenerife vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
21/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
64
Shots on target
02
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
64
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, de Miguel J. ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 45+4', Landazuri A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sanz A. , Calavera J. ,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Enric ,
  • 65', Munoz D. , Camus M. ,
  • 65', Guerrero A. , Moreno C. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 69', Manjam A. , Leon J. ,
  • 69', Landazuri A. , Fernandez D. ,
  • 75', Perez A. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 75', Ramos J. , Castillo N. ,
  • 77', de Miguel J. 🟨,
  • 79', Enric , Mesa M. ,
  • 85', Ouhdadi O. , Punzano I. ,
  • 88', Gil N. , Lopez N. ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 0, Mesa M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Tenerife
68.4%
Draw
21%
Ourense CF
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 26.3% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 25% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.
  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense CF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Tenerife - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.58)
    4.48
    (3.45)
    8.8
    (5.6)
    7.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Tenerife has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ourense CF has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tenerife is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Tenerife will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Tenerife
    14.09.2025 Pontevedra - Tenerife 0:2
    06.09.2025 Tenerife - Mérida AD 3:0
    31.08.2025 CD Guadalajara - Tenerife 0:2
    15.08.2025 Marino - Tenerife 0:5
    02.08.2025 Tenerife - Las Palmas 1:1
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    10.09.2025 Laredo - Ourense CF 1:5
    07.09.2025 Osasuna B - Ourense CF 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife25183445:133257
    2Celta Vigo B25146541:301148
    3Pontevedra251010532:201240
    4Ath Bilbao B25116828:28039
    5AD Merida25115935:33238
    6Real Madrid B25115932:33-138
    7Barakaldo25910633:27637
    8Lugo25910625:22337
    9Racing Club Ferrol251141029:28137
    10Ponferradina25106927:22536
    11Unionistas25106934:30436
    12Zamora2598832:30235
    13Real Aviles25941237:43-631
    14Arenas Getxo25931328:36-830
    15Ourense CF25771128:31-328
    16Cacereno25691022:31-927
    17CF Talavera25741425:36-1125
    18Arenteiro25661323:31-824
    19Guadalajara25661322:39-1724
    20Osasuna B25481317:32-1520

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation