Tenerife vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Tenerife - Ourense CF
Result
3:0
21/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
64
Shots on target
02
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
64
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, de Miguel J. ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 45+4', Landazuri A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sanz A. , Calavera J. ,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Enric ,
  • 65', Munoz D. , Camus M. ,
  • 65', Guerrero A. , Moreno C. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 69', Manjam A. , Leon J. ,
  • 69', Landazuri A. , Fernandez D. ,
  • 75', Perez A. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 75', Ramos J. , Castillo N. ,
  • 77', de Miguel J. 🟨,
  • 79', Enric , Mesa M. ,
  • 85', Ouhdadi O. , Punzano I. ,
  • 88', Gil N. , Lopez N. ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 0, Mesa M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Tenerife
68.4%
Draw
21%
Ourense CF
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 26.3% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 25% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.
  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense CF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Tenerife - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.58)
    4.48
    (3.45)
    8.8
    (5.6)
    7.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Tenerife has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ourense CF has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tenerife is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Tenerife will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Tenerife
    14.09.2025 Pontevedra - Tenerife 0:2
    06.09.2025 Tenerife - Mérida AD 3:0
    31.08.2025 CD Guadalajara - Tenerife 0:2
    15.08.2025 Marino - Tenerife 0:5
    02.08.2025 Tenerife - Las Palmas 1:1
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    10.09.2025 Laredo - Ourense CF 1:5
    07.09.2025 Osasuna B - Ourense CF 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation