Tenerife vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
21/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
64
Shots on target
02
Corner Kicks
54
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
64
Shots on target
02
Shots off target
62
Corner Kicks
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, de Miguel J. ,
  • 36', 🟨,
  • 45+4', Landazuri A. 🟨,
  • 45+6', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Sanz A. , Calavera J. ,
  • 51', 🟨,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Enric ,
  • 65', Munoz D. , Camus M. ,
  • 65', Guerrero A. , Moreno C. ,
  • 67', 🟨,
  • 69', Manjam A. , Leon J. ,
  • 69', Landazuri A. , Fernandez D. ,
  • 75', Perez A. , Vazquez K. ,
  • 75', Ramos J. , Castillo N. ,
  • 77', de Miguel J. 🟨,
  • 79', Enric , Mesa M. ,
  • 85', Ouhdadi O. , Punzano I. ,
  • 88', Gil N. , Lopez N. ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 0, Mesa M. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Tenerife
68.4%
Draw
21%
Ourense CF
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.5% 26.3% 16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4% 25% 15.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.
  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ourense CF might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • Tenerife - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.58)
    4.48
    (3.45)
    8.8
    (5.6)
    7.8%
    (10.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Tenerife has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Ourense CF has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tenerife is the undisputed favorite.
    • We predict that Tenerife will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Tenerife
    14.09.2025 Pontevedra - Tenerife 0:2
    06.09.2025 Tenerife - Mérida AD 3:0
    31.08.2025 CD Guadalajara - Tenerife 0:2
    15.08.2025 Marino - Tenerife 0:5
    02.08.2025 Tenerife - Las Palmas 1:1
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    17.09.2025 Ourense CF - Zamora 2:1
    10.09.2025 Laredo - Ourense CF 1:5
    07.09.2025 Osasuna B - Ourense CF 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife342010455:203570
    2Celta Vigo B341710756:431361
    3Zamora341510946:38855
    4Real Madrid B341581154:431153
    5Pontevedra341314743:261753
    6Ponferradina341491138:29951
    7Barakaldo341312944:341051
    8Unionistas3413101147:44349
    9AD Merida341391244:47-348
    10Arenas Getxo341451540:49-947
    11Lugo3411131032:37-546
    12Racing Club Ferrol341371438:43-546
    13Ath Bilbao B341291334:38-445
    14Real Aviles341191449:56-742
    15Ourense CF349111438:40-238
    16CF Talavera34991633:43-1036
    17Guadalajara34991637:52-1536
    18Cacereno347141331:45-1435
    19Osasuna B34891724:39-1533
    20Arenteiro34691929:46-1727

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