Result
1:3
19/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 1
- Referee: Radina M. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Czech-republic | Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 1.13 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
77% (305/394) | 70% (217/309) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.88 | 1.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.22 | 1.17 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 13 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
77% (305/394) | 70% (217/309) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (25/67) | 48% (44/92) |
Passes in final third |
---|
59% (76/128) | 52% (48/92) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (10/30) | 22% (2/9) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.71 | 0.73 |
Throw-ins |
---|
29 | 15 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
82% (14/17) | 80% (8/10) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 52 |
Clearances |
---|
26 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.17 | 1.22 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.83 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Pulkrab M. ⚽,
- 36', Natchkebia Z. 🟨,
- 45', Krapka A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Poznar T. ↓, Kanu S. ↑,
- 46', Didiba J. ↓, Petruta S. ↑,
- 54', Cernin J. 🟨,
- 57', Danihel D. ↓, Svanda J. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 1, Cupak M. ⚽, Kanu S. (A),
- 65', Krejci L. ↓, Riznic M. ↑,
- 65', Sedlacek R. ↓, Kozak M. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 2, Kanu S. ⚽, Cupak M. (A),
- 67', Natchkebia Z. ↓, Kopecny M. ↑,
- 68', Jukl R. 🟨,
- 74', Svanda J. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 3, Nombil C. ⚽, Kanu S. (A),
- 76', Radosta M. ↓, Auta J. ↑,
- 78', Takacs L. ↓, Tsykalo Y. ↑,
- 79', Trubac D. ↓, Naprstek M. ↑,
- 80', Naprstek M. 🟨,
- 83', Kalabiska J. ↓, Pisoja M. ↑,
- 87', Bartosak L. ↓, Polasek S. ↑,
- 90+3', Riznic M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Cupak M. ↓, Ulbrich T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Teplice 50.5% | Draw 27.2% | Zlín 22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Teplice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Zlín has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teplice than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Teplice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zlín than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Teplice - Zlín Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↑ (1.73) |
3.43 ↑ (3.4) |
4.2 ↓ (5) |
6.7% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Teplice - Zlín?
Users Predictions:
Teplice will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 2.
- Teplice is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Zlín has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Zlín may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Zlín has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Teplice is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Teplice: Harustak J.
(Injury)
Marecek L.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Teplice: Halinsky D.
(Inactive)
Pulkrab M.
(Inactive)
Vecerka D.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:26. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Teplice won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Teplice won against Zlín?
Teplice has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zlín won against Teplice?
Zlín has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Teplice - Zlín were as follows:
11.02.2024
Teplice
-
Zlín
2:1
26.08.2023
Zlín
-
Teplice
2:1
14.05.2023
Teplice
-
Zlín
2:1
11.02.2023
Zlín
-
Teplice
2:1
27.08.2022
Teplice
-
Zlín
0:0
Latest results of Teplice
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Karvina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
2 | Plzen | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 4 |
3 | Slavia Prague | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Zlin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Liberec | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
7 | Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
8 | Bohemians | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
9 | Jablonec | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
10 | Mlada Boleslav | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 1 |
11 | Hradec Kralove | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
12 | Slovacko | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Dukla Prague | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
14 | Ostrava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Teplice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | FK Pardubice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )