Result
1:3
22/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 23
- Referee: Orel P. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.81 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (229/330) | 70% (225/321) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 1.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 2.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (229/330) | 70% (225/321) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (15/53) | 24% (20/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (62/110) | 66% (55/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/30) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.78 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.90 | 0.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 7', 0 - 1, Slavicek F. ⚽,
- 15', 0 - 2, Yasser M. ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 3, Ghali A. ⚽, Sejk V. (A),
- 40', Slama J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kozak M. ↓, Naprstek M. ↑,
- 46', Svanda J. ↓, Riznic M. ↑,
- 46', Vecerka D. ↓, Fully E. ↑,
- 46', Slama J. ↓, Hadas M. ↑,
- 46', Ghali A. ↓, Mikulenka M. ↑,
- 61', Bilek M. ↓, Jukl R. ↑,
- 61', Nyarko B. ↓, Pulkrab M. ↑,
- 65', Jezierski J. ↓, Rusek A. ↑,
- 65', Yasser M. ↓, Grgic D. ↑,
- 69', Barath P. ↓, Spacil J. ↑,
- 72', Zlatohlavek T. ↓, Marecek D. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 3, Pulkrab M. ⚽, Marecek D. (A),
- 90', Naprstek M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Janosek D. ↓, Maly M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Teplice
34.3% | Draw
32.4% | Sigma Olomouc
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Teplice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)Sigma Olomouc has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teplice than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Teplice that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sigma Olomouc than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sigma Olomouc could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Teplice - Sigma Olomouc Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.76 ↓
(3.15) |
2.89 ↑
(2.86) |
2.81 ↑
(2.47) |
6.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Teplice - Sigma Olomouc?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Teplice will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Sigma will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Teplice: 19% – 81%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Teplice (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Sigma (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Teplice (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sigma (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Teplice may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sigma has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Teplice: Harustak J.
(Injury)
Riznic M.
(Injury)
Takacs L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sigma: Dembe J.
(Knee Injury)
Dolznikov A.
(Injury)
Leibl M.
(Muscle Injury)
Muritala Y.
(Injury)
Sip J.
(Yellow Cards)
Tkac D.
(Muscle Injury)
Urica F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Teplice: Auta J.
(Injury)
Danihel D.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sigma: Kral J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 15:26. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Teplice won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Teplice won against Sigma Olomouc?
Teplice has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sigma Olomouc won against Teplice?
Sigma Olomouc has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Teplice - Sigma Olomouc were as follows:
20.09.2025
Sigma Olomouc
-
Teplice
0:0
30.11.2024
Teplice
-
Sigma Olomouc
1:0
03.08.2024
Sigma Olomouc
-
Teplice
2:1
21.02.2024
Teplice
-
Sigma Olomouc
2:0
13.08.2023
Sigma Olomouc
-
Teplice
2:1
Latest results of Teplice
Latest results of Sigma Olomouc
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 23 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 50:18 | 32 | 55 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 43:23 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Jablonec | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31:20 | 11 | 45 |
| 4 | Plzen | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 42 |
| 5 | Liberec | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:23 | 14 | 37 |
| 6 | Sigma Olomouc | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 7 | Karvina | 23 | 10 | 2 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Hradec Kralove | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 33:29 | 4 | 31 |
| 9 | Zlin | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 26:29 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Bohemians | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 20:29 | -9 | 26 |
| 11 | Teplice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 25 |
| 12 | FK Pardubice | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 25 |
| 13 | Mlada Boleslav | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29:47 | -18 | 20 |
| 14 | Ostrava | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 19 |
| 15 | Slovacko | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 16:29 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague | 23 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 14:34 | -20 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
