Ilia Simakin vs Terence Atmane – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Guangzhou Challenger Men Ilia Simakin - Terence Atmane
Result
1:2
01/05/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Guangzhou, hard - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
79
Double Faults
53
1st Serve Percentage
61%60%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (45/65)65% (40/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
52% (22/42)59% (24/41)
Break Points Saved
75% (9/12)67% (8/12)
1st Return Points Won
35% (22/62)31% (20/65)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (17/41)48% (20/42)
Break Points Converted
33% (4/12)25% (3/12)
Service Points Won
63% (67/107)62% (64/103)
Return Points Won
38% (39/103)37% (40/107)
Total Points Won
50% (106/210)50% (104/210)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Ilia Simakin
43.9%
Terence Atmane
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ilia Simakin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilia Simakin's form might have worsened.
  • Terence Atmane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Terence Atmane's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilia Simakin than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilia Simakin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Terence Atmane than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Terence Atmane, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ilia Simakin - Terence Atmane Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (1.89)

    1.68
    (1.93)
    6.7%
    (4.9%)
    What is the prediction for Ilia Simakin - Terence Atmane?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Simakin will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Atmane will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Simakin: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atmane (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Simakin is ranked ATP: 271. Atmane is ranked ATP: 136.
    • Simakin is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atmane in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games, wins - 5).
    • Atmane could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.
    • In this match, the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head matches, Simakin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ilia Simakin - Terence Atmane were as follows:
    17.04.2025 Terence Atmane - Ilia Simakin 2:1
    Latest results of Ilia Simakin
    Latest results of Terence Atmane
    28.04.2025 Rigele Te - Terence Atmane 1:2
    23.04.2025 Terence Atmane - Alibek Kachmazov Atmane T. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Walton A. (1)Ilagan A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Sun F. (Alt)Kachmazov A.0 : 2
    3Jasika O.Langmo C. (Q)2 : 0
    4Samrej K. (LL)McCabe J. (7)1 : 2
    5Schoolkate T. (3)Peniston R. (Q)2 : 1
    6Bolt A.Shimabukuro S.1 : 2
    7Bouzige M. (Q)Roh H.2 : 0
    8Chen C. (WC)Grenier H. (6)0 : 2
    9Tu L. (5)Watanuki Y.1 : 2
    10Mo Y. C. (Q)Simakin I. (Alt)0 : 2
    11Rosenkranz M. (Q)Sharipov M.1 : 2
    12Te R. (WC)Atmane T. (4)1 : 2
    13Lestienne C. (8)Hsu Y. H.0 : 2
    14Escoffier A.Svajda Z.2 : 0
    15Zhou Y. (WC)Cui J. (Alt)0 : 2
    16Noguchi R.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Walton A. (1)Kachmazov A.1 : 2
    2Jasika O.McCabe J. (7)1 : 2
    3Schoolkate T. (3)Shimabukuro S. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Bouzige M.Grenier H. (6)0 : 2
    5Watanuki Y.Simakin I.0 : 2
    6Sharipov M.Atmane T. (4)0 : 2
    7Hsu Y. H.Escoffier A.2 : 1
    8Cui J.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kachmazov A.McCabe J. (7)2 : 0
    2Schoolkate T. (3)Grenier H. (6)2 : 0
    3Simakin I.Atmane T. (4)1 : 2
    4Hsu Y. H.Holt B. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Kachmazov A.Schoolkate T. (3)1 : 2
    2Atmane T. (4)Holt B. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Schoolkate T. (3)Atmane T. (4)0 : 2