Tereza Valentova vs Alina Charaeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis WTA Osaka Tereza Valentova - Alina Charaeva
Result
2:0
12/10/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WTA - SINGLES: Osaka - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
70
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
56%75%
1st Serve Points Won
80% (24/30)55% (23/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (13/24)29% (4/14)
Break Points Saved
100% (5/5)43% (3/7)
1st Return Points Won
45% (19/42)20% (6/30)
2nd Return Points Won
71% (10/14)46% (11/24)
Break Points Converted
57% (4/7)0% (0/5)
Service Points Won
69% (37/54)48% (27/56)
Return Points Won
52% (29/56)31% (17/54)
Total Points Won
60% (66/110)40% (44/110)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)43% (3/7)
Return Games Won
57% (4/7)0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
80% (12/15)20% (3/15)

Chances of winning


Tereza Valentova
78.2%
Alina Charaeva
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.4% 28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.4% 27.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tereza Valentova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tereza Valentova's performance.
  • Alina Charaeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alina Charaeva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tereza Valentova than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tereza Valentova that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Charaeva than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alina Charaeva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Tereza Valentova - Alina Charaeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.21
    (1.3)

    4.34
    (3.25)
    6%
    (7.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Valentova is ranked WTA: 76. Charaeva is ranked WTA: 144.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Valentova is a strong favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Tereza Valentova
    Latest results of Alina Charaeva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Sonobe W. (WC)2 : 0
    2Lamens S.Arango E.2 : 0
    3Cristian J.Cocciaretto E. (Q)2 : 0
    4Volynets K. (Q)Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)0 : 2
    5Mertens E. (3)Bucsa C.2 : 0
    6Valentova T. (Q)Eala A.2 : 0
    7Sakkari M.Krueger A.1 : 2
    8Hibino N. (WC)Danilovic O. (6)1 : 2
    9Li A. (7)Gracheva V. (Q)2 : 0
    10Garland J. (Q)Sramkova R.0 : 2
    11Galfi D. (Q)Parks A.2 : 0
    12Baptiste H.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    13Bouzkova M. (5)Shibahara E. (WC)2 : 0
    14Golubic V.Andreescu B.2 : 1
    15Cirstea S.Uchijima M. (WC)2 : 1
    16Boulter K.Noskova L. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Lamens S.2 : 1
    2Cristian J.Bouzas Maneiro J. (8)2 : 1
    3Mertens E. (3)Valentova T.0 : 2
    4Krueger A.Danilovic O. (6)0 : 2
    5Li A. (7)Sramkova R.1 : 2
    6Galfi D.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    7Bouzkova M. (5)Golubic V.1 : 2
    8Cirstea S.Boulter K.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Osaka N. (1)Cristian J. (WO.)
    2Valentova T.Danilovic O. (6)2 : 1
    3Sramkova R.Fernandez L. (4)0 : 2
    4Golubic V.Cirstea S.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cristian J.Valentova T.1 : 2
    2Fernandez L. (4)Cirstea S.2 : 1

    Final
    1Valentova T.Fernandez L. (4)1 : 2