Lucchese vs Ternana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
30/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
85
Corner Kicks
39
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
129
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
39
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 12', 2 - 0, Visconti E. ,
  • 14', Capuano M. , Vallocchia A. ,
  • 25', Fedato F. 🟨,
  • 26', 3 - 0, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 37', 3 - 1, Cicerelli E. ,
  • 43', Cicerelli E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Donati F. , Fazzi N. ,
  • 46', Corradini G. , Ferrante A. ,
  • 46', Tito F. , Martella B. ,
  • 51', Melgrati R. 🟨,
  • 60', Magnaghi S. , Badje I. ,
  • 67', Curcio A. , Romeo F. ,
  • 68', Vallocchia A. 🟨,
  • 73', 4 - 1, Badje I. ,
  • 74', Badje I. 🟨,
  • 75', Romeo F. 🟨,
  • 85', Fedato F. , Salomaa H. ,
  • 87', Welbeck N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Welbeck N. , Gasbarro A. ,
  • 90+3', Selvini A. , Gheza F. ,

Chances of winning


Lucchese
17%
Draw
23.7%
Ternana
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.5% 25.3% 52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 25% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucchese's form might have worsened.
  • Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ternana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ternana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lucchese - Ternana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.45
    (4.1)
    3.92
    (3.64)
    1.56
    (1.77)
    7.9%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches Lucchese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ternana in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ternana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Ternana is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lucchese: Saporiti E. (Inactive) Tumbarello G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ternana: Damiani S. (Knee Injury) Krastev D. (Knee Injury) Viviani F. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - Ternana were as follows:
    17.11.2024 Ternana - Lucchese 5:0
    Latest results of Lucchese
    22.03.2025 Legnago Salus - Lucchese 1:1
    15.03.2025 Lucchese - Campobasso 2:0
    11.03.2025 Lucchese - Virtus Entella 2:2
    07.03.2025 Pescara - Lucchese 4:1
    01.03.2025 Lucchese - Carpi 2:2
    Latest results of Ternana
    23.03.2025 Ternana - Perugia 0:0
    11.03.2025 Ternana - Sestri Levante 1:0
    08.03.2025 Rimini - Ternana 0:1
    02.03.2025 Ternana - Sassari Torres 3:1
    23.02.2025 Ascoli - Ternana 0:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo27196247:173063
    2Ascoli28168449:193056
    3Ravenna28175641:261556
    4Campobasso28128840:34642
    5Ternana27128734:27739
    6Juventus U23271161033:31239
    7Pianese28912730:28239
    8Pineto27109834:33139
    9Gubbio27812722:20236
    10Livorno281051329:39-1035
    11Forli27961233:38-533
    12Vis Pesaro27712826:27-133
    13Guidonia27711923:25-232
    14Carpi28881225:35-1032
    15Bra285111230:41-1126
    16Sambenedettese285101323:31-825
    17Torres284131122:36-1425
    18Perugia27591326:34-824
    19Pontedera27391523:49-2618
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation