Lucchese vs Ternana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
30/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
85
Corner Kicks
39
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
129
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
39
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 12', 2 - 0, Visconti E. ,
  • 14', Capuano M. , Vallocchia A. ,
  • 25', Fedato F. 🟨,
  • 26', 3 - 0, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 37', 3 - 1, Cicerelli E. ,
  • 43', Cicerelli E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Donati F. , Fazzi N. ,
  • 46', Corradini G. , Ferrante A. ,
  • 46', Tito F. , Martella B. ,
  • 51', Melgrati R. 🟨,
  • 60', Magnaghi S. , Badje I. ,
  • 67', Curcio A. , Romeo F. ,
  • 68', Vallocchia A. 🟨,
  • 73', 4 - 1, Badje I. ,
  • 74', Badje I. 🟨,
  • 75', Romeo F. 🟨,
  • 85', Fedato F. , Salomaa H. ,
  • 87', Welbeck N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Welbeck N. , Gasbarro A. ,
  • 90+3', Selvini A. , Gheza F. ,

Chances of winning


Lucchese
17%
Draw
23.7%
Ternana
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.5% 25.3% 52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 25% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucchese's form might have worsened.
  • Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ternana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ternana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lucchese - Ternana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.45
    (4.1)
    3.92
    (3.64)
    1.56
    (1.77)
    7.9%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches Lucchese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ternana in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ternana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Ternana is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lucchese: Saporiti E. (Inactive) Tumbarello G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ternana: Damiani S. (Knee Injury) Krastev D. (Knee Injury) Viviani F. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - Ternana were as follows:
    17.11.2024 Ternana - Lucchese 5:0
    Latest results of Lucchese
    22.03.2025 Legnago Salus - Lucchese 1:1
    15.03.2025 Lucchese - Campobasso 2:0
    11.03.2025 Lucchese - Virtus Entella 2:2
    07.03.2025 Pescara - Lucchese 4:1
    01.03.2025 Lucchese - Carpi 2:2
    Latest results of Ternana
    23.03.2025 Ternana - Perugia 0:0
    11.03.2025 Ternana - Sestri Levante 1:0
    08.03.2025 Rimini - Ternana 0:1
    02.03.2025 Ternana - Sassari Torres 3:1
    23.02.2025 Ascoli - Ternana 0:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo34228457:223574
    2Ascoli34228462:224074
    3Ravenna35217749:301970
    4Campobasso341510947:371053
    5Juventus U23341491144:41351
    6Pineto3413111041:39250
    7Vis Pesaro3411131036:32446
    8Pianese341016834:33146
    9Ternana3413111041:36545
    10Gubbio3410141029:32-344
    11Livorno351171737:51-1440
    12Guidonia348141228:32-438
    13Carpi349101532:45-1337
    14Perugia348131337:42-537
    15Forli34991639:51-1236
    16Torres346171131:42-1135
    17Sambenedettese346131525:34-931
    18Bra346131534:50-1631
    19Pontedera343112026:58-3220
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation