Lucchese vs Ternana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
30/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group B - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
85
Corner Kicks
39
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
129
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
39
Goalkeeper Saves
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 12', 2 - 0, Visconti E. ,
  • 14', Capuano M. , Vallocchia A. ,
  • 25', Fedato F. 🟨,
  • 26', 3 - 0, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 37', 3 - 1, Cicerelli E. ,
  • 43', Cicerelli E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Donati F. , Fazzi N. ,
  • 46', Corradini G. , Ferrante A. ,
  • 46', Tito F. , Martella B. ,
  • 51', Melgrati R. 🟨,
  • 60', Magnaghi S. , Badje I. ,
  • 67', Curcio A. , Romeo F. ,
  • 68', Vallocchia A. 🟨,
  • 73', 4 - 1, Badje I. ,
  • 74', Badje I. 🟨,
  • 75', Romeo F. 🟨,
  • 85', Fedato F. , Salomaa H. ,
  • 87', Welbeck N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Welbeck N. , Gasbarro A. ,
  • 90+3', Selvini A. , Gheza F. ,

Chances of winning


Lucchese
17%
Draw
23.7%
Ternana
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.5% 25.3% 52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2% 25% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucchese's form might have worsened.
  • Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ternana's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ternana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lucchese - Ternana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.45
    (4.1)
    3.92
    (3.64)
    1.56
    (1.77)
    7.9%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
    • Recent matches Lucchese is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Ternana in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Ternana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Ternana is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Lucchese: Saporiti E. (Inactive) Tumbarello G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Ternana: Damiani S. (Knee Injury) Krastev D. (Knee Injury) Viviani F. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - Ternana were as follows:
    17.11.2024 Ternana - Lucchese 5:0
    Latest results of Lucchese
    22.03.2025 Legnago Salus - Lucchese 1:1
    15.03.2025 Lucchese - Campobasso 2:0
    11.03.2025 Lucchese - Virtus Entella 2:2
    07.03.2025 Pescara - Lucchese 4:1
    01.03.2025 Lucchese - Carpi 2:2
    Latest results of Ternana
    23.03.2025 Ternana - Perugia 0:0
    11.03.2025 Ternana - Sestri Levante 1:0
    08.03.2025 Rimini - Ternana 0:1
    02.03.2025 Ternana - Sassari Torres 3:1
    23.02.2025 Ascoli - Ternana 0:3
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo36248464:244080
    2Ascoli36238563:234077
    3Ravenna36227750:302073
    4Campobasso361710949:371259
    5Juventus U233614111146:43353
    6Pianese361117837:34350
    7Pineto3613111242:45-350
    8Gubbio3611151031:32-148
    9Ternana3614111144:40448
    10Vis Pesaro3611131238:36246
    11Livorno361271739:51-1243
    12Forli3610101641:52-1140
    13Carpi3610101635:48-1340
    14Perugia368141438:44-638
    15Guidonia368141430:36-638
    16Sambenedettese368131530:37-737
    17Torres366181232:45-1336
    18Bra366141637:54-1732
    19Pontedera363112227:62-3520
    20Rimini00000:000

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation