Result
1:2
07/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | SKY Go Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Ferrante A. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Tozzuolo A. ⚽,
- 38', Ndrecka A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Kanoute M. ↓, Matos ↑,
- 63', 1 - 2, Vallocchia A. ⚽,
- 65', Romeo F. ↓, Maestrelli A. ↑,
- 65', Dubickas E. ↓, Pettinari S. ↑,
- 72', Durmush M. 🟨,
- 72', Durmush M. ↓, Garetto M. ↑,
- 74', Tumbarello G. ↓, Giunti G. ↑,
- 74', Torrasi E. ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,
- 81', Manzari G. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
- 81', Megelaitis L. ↓, Bartolomei P. ↑,
- 85', Ndrecka A. ↓, Meccariello B. ↑,
- 85', Ferrante A. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
- 86', Montevago D. 🟨,
- 90+5', Tozzuolo A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Perugia
30.6% | Draw
32.6% | Ternana
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Perugia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Perugia - Ternana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.99 ↑
(2.61) |
2.8 ↓
(2.94) |
2.49 ↓
(2.75) |
9.3%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ternana has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Perugia won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 0.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Perugia won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Ternana?
Perugia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Perugia?
Ternana has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Ternana were as follows:
23.03.2025
Ternana
-
Perugia
0:0
10.11.2024
Perugia
-
Ternana
0:0
18.02.2023
Perugia
-
Ternana
3:0
18.09.2022
Ternana
-
Perugia
1:0
Latest results of Perugia
Latest results of Ternana
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 54:20 | 34 | 70 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 31 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 55:20 | 35 | 65 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 45:30 | 15 | 61 |
| 4 | Pineto | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 41:38 | 3 | 48 |
| 5 | Campobasso | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 43:35 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Pianese | 31 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 44 |
| 7 | Juventus U23 | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 28:26 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 32:29 | 3 | 43 |
| 10 | Ternana | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 37:31 | 6 | 43 |
| 11 | Livorno | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 33:46 | -13 | 37 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 25:28 | -3 | 36 |
| 13 | Forli | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 35 |
| 14 | Carpi | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 30:42 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 16 | Torres | 32 | 5 | 16 | 11 | 28:41 | -13 | 31 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 29 |
| 18 | Bra | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32:49 | -17 | 26 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 31 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 26:55 | -29 | 19 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
