Result
2:2
12/04/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - Group B - Round 36
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Calcio |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', Calapai L. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Capuano M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Calapai L. ↓, Angella G. ↑,
- 54', Lisi F. ↓, Bolsius D. ↑,
- 61', Aramu M. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
- 62', Tumbarello G. ↓, Ladinetti R. ↑,
- 62', Canotto L. ↓, Bacchin L. ↑,
- 67', 2 - 0, Ferrante A. ⚽,
- 69', 2 - 1, Bacchin L. ⚽,
- 70', Orellana M. ↓, Proietti M. ↑,
- 72', Riccardi D. ↓, Nepi A. ↑,
- 75', Majer Z. ↓, McJannet E. ↑,
- 79', Martella B. ↓, Maestrelli A. ↑,
- 79', Garetto M. ↓, Tripi F. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 2, Montevago D. ⚽,
- 88', Tozzuolo A. 🟨,
- 90+6', Verre V. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ternana
41.8% | Draw
29.2% | Perugia
29.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ternana - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.97) |
3.15 ↓
(3.2) |
3.16 ↓
(3.75) |
8.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ternana - Perugia?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 2.
- Ternana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Perugia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ternana will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 0.5:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against Perugia?
Ternana has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Ternana?
Perugia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ternana - Perugia were as follows:
07.12.2025
Perugia
-
Ternana
1:2
23.03.2025
Ternana
-
Perugia
0:0
10.11.2024
Perugia
-
Ternana
0:0
18.02.2023
Perugia
-
Ternana
3:0
18.09.2022
Ternana
-
Perugia
1:0
Latest results of Ternana
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Arezzo | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 57:22 | 35 | 74 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 62:22 | 40 | 74 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 49:30 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 47:37 | 10 | 53 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 44:41 | 3 | 51 |
| 6 | Pineto | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:39 | 2 | 50 |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 36:32 | 4 | 46 |
| 8 | Pianese | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 34:33 | 1 | 46 |
| 9 | Ternana | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:36 | 5 | 45 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 34 | 10 | 14 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 44 |
| 11 | Livorno | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 37:51 | -14 | 40 |
| 12 | Guidonia | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 28:32 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | Carpi | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:45 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | Perugia | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 37 |
| 15 | Forli | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 36 |
| 16 | Torres | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 31:42 | -11 | 35 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 25:34 | -9 | 31 |
| 18 | Bra | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Pontedera | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:58 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
