Result
17/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Cicerelli E. ⚽,
- 20', Paghera F. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Iglio G. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 2, Cianci P. ⚽,
- 62', Bruscagin M. 🟨,
- 64', D'Orazio L. ↓, Spini C. ↑,
- 64', Bruscagin M. ↓, Calapai L. ↑,
- 68', Corradini G. ↓, Vallocchia A. ↑,
- 74', Zammarini R. ↓, Antenucci M. ↑,
- 77', Cianci P. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
- 77', Curcio A. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
- 82', Cicerelli E. ↓, Ciammaglichella A. ↑,
- 82', Tito F. ↓, Martella B. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 3, Ferrante A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
SPAL
22.9% | Draw
27.4% | Ternana
49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPAL's performance.Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ternana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPAL that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ternana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SPAL - Ternana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↓
(6.4) |
3.35 ↓
(3.86) |
1.85 ↑
(1.49) |
9%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SPAL - Ternana?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Ternana will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ternana: 42.8% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1.
- SPAL is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ternana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Ternana is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:2 (average 3.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Ternana?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against SPAL?
Ternana has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Ternana were as follows:
02.11.2024
Ternana
-
SPAL
4:1
01.04.2023
SPAL
-
Ternana
1:1
05.11.2022
Ternana
-
SPAL
0:0
Latest results of Ternana
Italian Serie C Group B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ravenna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Arezzo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sambenedettese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Torres | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Gubbio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Livorno | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Ascoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Perugia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Vis Pesaro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Carpi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Pianese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Pineto | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Juventus U23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Guidonia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Rimini | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Ternana | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Forli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Pontedera | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Campobasso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Bra | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Serie B
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
Serie C ~ Play Out
Relegation
