Result
17/03/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Italy | SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', 0 - 1, Cicerelli E. ⚽,
- 20', Paghera F. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Iglio G. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
- 58', 0 - 2, Cianci P. ⚽,
- 62', Bruscagin M. 🟨,
- 64', D'Orazio L. ↓, Spini C. ↑,
- 64', Bruscagin M. ↓, Calapai L. ↑,
- 68', Corradini G. ↓, Vallocchia A. ↑,
- 74', Zammarini R. ↓, Antenucci M. ↑,
- 77', Cianci P. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
- 77', Curcio A. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
- 82', Cicerelli E. ↓, Ciammaglichella A. ↑,
- 82', Tito F. ↓, Martella B. ↑,
- 87', 0 - 3, Ferrante A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
SPAL
22.9% | Draw
27.4% | Ternana
49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPAL's performance.Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ternana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPAL that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+13.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ternana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SPAL - Ternana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.01 ↓
(6.4) |
3.35 ↓
(3.86) |
1.85 ↑
(1.49) |
9%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for SPAL - Ternana?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Ternana will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ternana: 42.8% – 90.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1.
- SPAL is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Ternana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- In this match Ternana is a favorite.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:2 (average 3.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has SPAL won against Ternana?
SPAL has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ternana won against SPAL?
Ternana has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SPAL - Ternana were as follows:
02.11.2024
Ternana
-
SPAL
4:1
01.04.2023
SPAL
-
Ternana
1:1
05.11.2022
Ternana
-
SPAL
0:0
Latest results of Ternana
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Crotone | Bye | |
| 2 | Benevento | Juventus U23 | 1 : 5 |
| 4 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 8 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 9 | Renate | Arzignano | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | Virtus Verona | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 16 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 17 | AlbinoLeffe | Bye | |
| 18 | Trento | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Torres | |
| 24 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 25 | Arezzo | Gubbio | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Vis Pesaro | Pontedera | 1 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 29 | Catania | Giugliano | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Potenza | Picerno | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pescara | Bye | |
| 32 | Pineto | Pianese | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Crotone | Juventus U23 | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 4 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 5 | Renate | Giana Erminio | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 8 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bye | Torres | |
| 12 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 13 | Arezzo | Vis Pesaro | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 15 | Catania | Potenza | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Pescara | Pianese | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Crotone | FeralpiSalo | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | Monopoli | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | Torres | 1 : 2, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | Rimini | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Catania | Pescara | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Crotone | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Giana Erminio | Ternana | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta U23 | Audace Cerignola | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Vis Pesaro | Pescara | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | Ternana | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | Pescara | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Ternana | Pescara | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
