Result
2:1
09/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL League One
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (308/370) | 79% (286/362) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (308/370) | 79% (286/362) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (21/51) | 49% (30/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (69/110) | 62% (53/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Garrett I. ⚽, Henderlong K. (A),
- 45+1', 2 - 0, Cisneros J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mfanafikile D. ↓, McManus B. ↑,
- 56', Cerro I. 🟨,
- 58', Baker T. 🟨,
- 60', Garrett I. ↓, Ferrin A. ↑,
- 60', Cerro I. ↓, Pasnik T. ↑,
- 66', Dengler J. 🟨,
- 68', Valentine R. ↓, Jawneh L. ↑,
- 69', Spengler P. 🟨,
- 73', Prpa L. ↓, O'Connor K. ↑,
- 83', Kilwien P. ↓, Pepi D. ↑,
- 86', Torrellas M. 🟨,
- 87', Torrellas M. ↓, Bachstein D. ↑,
- 87', Glasser M. ↓, Ritondale T. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, McCormick L. ⚽, Jawneh L. (A),
Chances of winning
Naples
54.9% | Draw
23% | Texoma
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naples has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naples's performance.Texoma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Texoma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naples than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naples that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Texoma than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Texoma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Naples - Texoma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.89) |
3.97 ↑
(3.8) |
4.13 ↑
(3.28) |
9.7%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )).
- Naples is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Texoma is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Texoma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Texoma has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Naples is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Naples won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Naples won against Texoma?
Naples has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Texoma won against Naples?
Texoma has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naples - Texoma were as follows:
05.04.2025
Texoma
-
Naples
0:3
USL League One Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 31:19 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Spokane Velocity | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 26:16 | 10 | 35 |
| 3 | One Knoxville | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | FC Naples | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | Charlotte Independ | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 31 |
| 6 | AV Alta | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 31:27 | 4 | 29 |
| 7 | Greenville | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | Texoma | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 27:35 | -8 | 22 |
| 9 | Union Omaha | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 21 |
| 10 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 17 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 21 |
| 11 | Tormenta | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 29:38 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Forward Madison | 19 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Richmond Kickers | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 27:35 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | Westchester SC | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 29:39 | -10 | 16 |
Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: )
