Mid Canterbury vs Thames Valley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
21:18
17/10/2025 at 21:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Heartland Championships - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Tries
00
Conversion Goals
00
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
00
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (14 - 6)
  • 2nd Half (7 - 12)

Chances of winning


Mid Canterbury
62.6%
Draw
3.8%
Thames Valley
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.4% 3.4% 38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 3.3% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mid Canterbury has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Thames Valley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mid Canterbury than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thames Valley than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • Mid Canterbury - Thames Valley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.48
    (1.57)
    24.67
    (27)
    2.76
    (2.4)
    7.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 60.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mid Cant won 2.
    • Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
    • Mid Cant could have a small edge in this match.
    • We predict that Mid Cant will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mid Cant won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 194:192. (average 32.3:32).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mid Cant won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 55:53. (average 27.5:26.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mid Canterbury - Thames Valley were as follows:
    15.08.2025 Thames Valley - Mid Canterbury 34:50
    18.10.2024 Thames Valley - Mid Canterbury 37:29
    Latest results of Mid Canterbury
    Latest results of Thames Valley
    03.10.2025 Whanganui - Thames Valley 5:38
    26.09.2025 Thames Valley - West Coast 45:7
    19.09.2025 Thames Valley - East Coast 84:5
    12.09.2025 Buller - Thames Valley FRO
    Draw
    5th-8th places

    Semi-finals
    1North Otago (6)Poverty Bay (7)48 : 46
    2Whanganui (5)Horowhenua (8)18 : 40

    Final
    1North Otago (6)Horowhenua (8)64 : 47