Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Dominic Thiem – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/04/2024 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain) - Qualification, clay - Final
  • Referee: Absolu M. (Fra)

Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
01
1st Serve Percentage
70%64%
1st Serve Points Won
81% (26/32)50% (18/36)
2nd Serve Points Won
57% (8/14)55% (11/20)
Break Points Saved
100% (4/4)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
50% (18/36)22% (7/32)
2nd Return Points Won
45% (9/20)43% (6/14)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)0% (0/4)
Winners
1814
Unforced Errors
38
Net Points Won
55% (6/11)67% (6/9)
Max Points In Row
76
Service Points Won
74% (34/46)52% (29/56)
Return Points Won
48% (27/56)26% (12/46)
Total Points Won
60% (61/102)40% (41/102)
Max Games In Row
41
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Thanasi Kokkinakis
66.3%
Dominic Thiem
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.7% 48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6% 45.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thanasi Kokkinakis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thanasi Kokkinakis's performance.
  • Dominic Thiem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dominic Thiem might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thanasi Kokkinakis than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thanasi Kokkinakis that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dominic Thiem than the current prediction. (+11.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dominic Thiem could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Thanasi Kokkinakis - Dominic Thiem Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.82)

    2.8
    (1.95)
    5.9%
    (6.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Kokkinakis is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Thiem is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kokkinakis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Kokkinakis will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Thanasi Kokkinakis
    Latest results of Dominic Thiem
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (RET.) (22)1 : 1
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.1 : 2
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)1 : 2
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.2 : 0
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)2 : 0
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)2 : 0
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 0
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)0 : 2
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Norrie C. (19)
    2Kopriva V.Jodar R.
    3Etcheverry T. M. (25)Fils A. (21)
    4Lehecka J. (11)Musetti L. (6)
    5Tsitsipas S.Ruud C. (12)
    6Cerundolo F. (16)Blockx A.
    7Medvedev D. (7)Cobolli F. (10)
    8Mensik J. (23)Zverev A. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2