The New Saints vs Arbroath – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
18/11/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SCOTLAND: CHALLENGE CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Chances of winning


The New Saints
62.4%
Draw
20%
Arbroath
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.5% 17% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1% 16.4% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that The New Saints's form might have worsened.
  • Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for The New Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • The New Saints - Arbroath Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.37)
    4.69
    (5.5)
    5.29
    (6.48)
    8.3%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    Preview Facts
    • TNS in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Arbroath is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • TNS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match TNS is absolute favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of The New Saints
    Latest results of Arbroath
    11.11.2023 Airdrieonians - Arbroath 2:0
    04.11.2023 Arbroath - Partick Thistle 1:3
    27.10.2023 Dundee United - Arbroath 6:0
    30.09.2023 Arbroath - Inverness 2:3
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1ArbroathKelty Hearts3 : 2
    2Elgin CityEast Fife2 : 3
    3AlloaAirdrieonians2 : 3
    4MontroseSpartans2 : 1
    5Queen's ParkClyde2 : 1
    6Forfar AthleticEdinburgh City2 : 1
    7RaithHamilton5 : 2
    8Queen of SouthDunfermline4 : 3
    9Hearts BSt Johnstone0 : 1
    10Ross CountyCeltic B4 : 0
    11AyrPeterhead2 : 1
    12East KilbrideStranraer1 : 4
    13Cove RangersPartick Thistle1 : 2
    14DumbartonInverness0 : 9
    15StirlingMorton3 : 2
    16StenhousemuirAnnan2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ArbroathEast Fife3 : 0
    2AirdrieoniansMontrose3 : 1
    3Queen's ParkForfar Athletic2 : 0
    4RaithQueen of South1 : 0
    5St JohnstoneRoss County2 : 0
    6AyrStranraer4 : 1
    7Partick ThistleInverness3 : 4
    8StirlingStenhousemuir1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1ArbroathAirdrieonians2 : 3
    2Queen's ParkRaith1 : 2
    3St JohnstoneAyr3 : 4
    4InvernessStenhousemuir1 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1AirdrieoniansRaith1 : 2
    2AyrInverness1 : 2

    Final
    1RaithInverness