The New Saints vs Arbroath – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Scottish Challenge Cup The New Saints - Arbroath
Result
4:1
18/11/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SCOTLAND: CHALLENGE CUP - QUARTER-FINALS

Chances of winning


The New Saints
62.4%
Draw
20%
Arbroath
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.5% 17% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1% 16.4% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that The New Saints's form might have worsened.
  • Arbroath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for The New Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbroath than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • The New Saints - Arbroath Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.47
    (1.37)
    4.69
    (5.5)
    5.29
    (6.48)
    8.3%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
  • Preview Facts
    • TNS in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Arbroath is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • TNS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match TNS is absolute favorite.
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of The New Saints
    Latest results of Arbroath
    11.11.2023 Airdrieonians - Arbroath 2:0
    04.11.2023 Arbroath - Partick Thistle 1:3
    27.10.2023 Dundee United - Arbroath 6:0
    30.09.2023 Arbroath - Inverness 2:3
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/64-finals
    1StranraerBye
    2ByeBonnyrigg Rose
    4ByeAnnan
    5Queen's ParkBye
    8ByeEdinburgh City
    9ClydeBye
    10Rangers BBo'ness United3 : 1
    11FraserburghHearts B2 : 1
    12ByeForfar Athletic
    13StenhousemuirBye
    16ByeFalkirk
    17Queen of SouthBye
    20ByeAirdrieonians
    21Motherwell BEast Stirlingshire0 : 1
    22East KilbrideCeltic B3 : 0
    24ByeCove Rangers
    25AyrBye
    28ByeRaith
    29PeterheadBye
    31DumbartonBye
    32BerwickSt. Mirren B3 : 0
    33East FifeBye
    34St Johnstone BBrechin2 : 1
    36ByeDunfermline
    37Kelty HeartsBye
    39Elgin CityBye
    40Banks O' DeeAberdeen B1 : 0
    41Partick ThistleBye
    44ByeAlloa
    45ArbroathBye
    48ByeMontrose
    49SpartansBye
    52ByeLivingston
    53InvernessBye
    56ByeStirling
    57HamiltonBye
    59Buckie ThistleDundee Utd B1 : 3
    60Dundee FC BFormartine Utd2 : 0
    61Hibernian BAlbion Rovers3 : 4
    62CowdenbeathKilmarnock B4 : 2
    64ByeMorton

    1/32-finals
    1StranraerBonnyrigg Rose2 : 1
    2ByeAnnan
    3Queen's ParkBye
    4ByeEdinburgh City
    5ClydeRangers B2 : 3
    6FraserburghForfar Athletic2 : 1
    7StenhousemuirBye
    8ByeFalkirk
    9Queen of SouthBye
    10ByeAirdrieonians
    11East StirlingshireEast Kilbride2 : 3
    12ByeCove Rangers
    13AyrBye
    14ByeRaith
    15PeterheadBye
    16DumbartonBerwick4 : 0
    17East FifeSt Johnstone B2 : 1
    18ByeDunfermline
    19Kelty HeartsBye
    20Elgin CityBanks O' Dee2 : 1
    21Partick ThistleBye
    22ByeAlloa
    23ArbroathBye
    24ByeMontrose
    25SpartansBye
    26ByeLivingston
    27InvernessBye
    28ByeStirling
    29HamiltonBye
    30Dundee Utd BDundee FC B1 : 0
    31Albion RoversCowdenbeath3 : 4
    32ByeMorton

    1/16-finals
    1StranraerAnnan1 : 5
    2Queen's ParkEdinburgh City1 : 0
    3Rangers BFraserburgh5 : 0
    4StenhousemuirFalkirk2 : 1
    5Queen of SouthAirdrieonians0 : 3
    6East KilbrideCove Rangers3 : 2
    7AyrRaith3 : 2
    8PeterheadDumbarton1 : 0
    9East FifeDunfermline0 : 2
    10Kelty HeartsElgin City3 : 1
    11Partick ThistleAlloa1 : 3
    12ArbroathMontrose3 : 0
    13SpartansLivingston0 : 2
    14InvernessStirling3 : 0
    15HamiltonDundee Utd B4 : 0
    16CowdenbeathMorton0 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1AnnanQueen's Park1 : 4
    2Rangers BStenhousemuir4 : 1
    3AirdrieoniansEast Kilbride1 : 2
    4AyrPeterhead2 : 1
    5DunfermlineKelty Hearts2 : 1
    6AlloaArbroath1 : 0
    7LivingstonInverness3 : 2
    8HamiltonMorton0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Queen's ParkRangers B3 : 1
    2East KilbrideAyr3 : 2
    3DunfermlineAlloa1 : 0
    4LivingstonMorton2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Queen's ParkEast Kilbride6 : 2
    2DunfermlineLivingston0 : 2

    Final
    1Queen's ParkLivingston0 : 5