Result
2:1
21/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.36 | 1.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
72% (239/331) | 63% (163/259) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.36 | 1.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.63 | 1.05 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 10 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
17 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
72% (239/331) | 63% (163/259) |
Long passes |
---|
35% (20/57) | 31% (27/87) |
Passes in final third |
---|
65% (82/127) | 49% (45/92) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (3/17) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.76 | 0.84 |
Throw-ins |
---|
28 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 17 |
Tackles |
---|
80% (12/15) | 63% (10/16) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 43 |
Clearances |
---|
19 | 35 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.05 | 1.63 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.05 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Peredo G. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
- 38', 2 - 0, Da Silva D. ⚽, Rafinha (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Quaglio F. ↓, Somoya M. ↑,
- 57', Chiatti M. 🟨,
- 59', Rafinha 🟨,
- 60', Mina K. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 60', Godoy J. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
- 60', Quiroga A. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
- 63', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
- 69', Arrascaita J. ↓, Moriceau T. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Moriceau T. ⚽, Amoroso J. (A),
- 74', Peredo G. ↓, Villarroel M. ↑,
- 74', Rafinha ↓, Barco C. ↑,
- 80', Anez C. 🟨,
- 82', Robles D. 🟨,
- 88', Anez C. ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
- 88', Da Silva D. ↓, Chavez T. ↑,
- 88', Chiatti M. ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
- 90', Somoya M. 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guabirá 41.7% | Draw 25.9% | The Strongest 32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Guabirá - The Strongest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.24 ↓ (2.25) |
3.63 ↓ (3.75) |
2.85 ↑ (2.6) |
7.3% (9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Guabirá - The Strongest?
Users Predictions:
The Strongest will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 2.
- Guabirá is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The Strongest has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Guabirá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 21:51. (average 1.1:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against The Strongest?
Guabirá has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has The Strongest won against Guabirá?
The Strongest has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - The Strongest were as follows:
03.05.2025
The Strongest
-
Guabirá
5:1
20.10.2024
Guabirá
-
The Strongest
1:0
23.05.2024
The Strongest
-
Guabirá
3:2
07.11.2023
Guabirá
-
The Strongest
4:1
26.10.2023
The Strongest
-
Guabirá
1:0
Latest results of Guabirá
Latest results of The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Always Ready | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 66:23 | 43 | 55 |
2 | The Strongest | 22 | 16 | 1 | 5 | 59:37 | 22 | 49 |
3 | Bolivar | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 52:23 | 29 | 43 |
4 | Blooming | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
5 | Guabira | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 45:41 | 4 | 34 |
6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 43:39 | 4 | 31 |
7 | Independiente | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:43 | -6 | 30 |
8 | GV San Jose | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 30 |
9 | Nacional Potosi | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 27 |
10 | Oriente Petrolero | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 34:43 | -9 | 27 |
11 | Universitario de Vinto | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
12 | Real Oruro | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 38:50 | -12 | 24 |
13 | Tomayapo | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 23 |
14 | Academia del Balompie | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 23 |
15 | Wilstermann | 23 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18:48 | -30 | 12 |
16 | Aurora | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 39:41 | -2 | -5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation