Result
3:2
18/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.42 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (189/265) | 66% (171/258) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.42 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (189/265) | 66% (171/258) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (19/54) | 39% (28/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (60/94) | 56% (64/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 50% (8/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 100% (13/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 2.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.34 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Cristaldo J. E. ⚽, Nava F. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Godoy J. ⚽, Lino D. (A),
- 37', 2 - 1, Chala W. ⚽, Rojas D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Triverio E. 🟨,
- 61', Pedraza P. 🟨,
- 62', Melean A. 🟨,
- 64', Cristaldo J. E. ↓, Arabe C. ↑,
- 65', Lino D. ↓, Chura J. ↑,
- 65', Nava F. 🟨,
- 67', Pedraza P. 🟨,
- 72', Garcia J. ↓, Moriceau T. ↑,
- 73', Gonzales Mejia F. ↓, Berdecio J. ↑,
- 73', Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↓, Abastoflor C. ↑,
- 81', Diez R. 🟨,
- 83', Vaca P. 🟨,
- 86', Chala W. ↓, Cabrera D. ↑,
- 86', Melean A. ↓, Vargas F. ↑,
- 86', Quiroga A. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
- 86', Altamirano S. ↓, Saavedra ↑,
- 87', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 2, Flores J. ⚽, Chura J. (A),
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Vaca P. ⚽, Galvez V. (A),
- 90+5', Vaca P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Oriente Petrolero
35.4% | Draw
24.8% | The Strongest
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriente Petrolero's performance.The Strongest has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The Strongest might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriente Petrolero that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that The Strongest could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(3.75) |
3.76 ↑
(3.5) |
2.3 ↑
(1.91) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. The Strongest (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
The Strongest will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 0.
- Oriente Petrolero has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- The Strongest is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Oriente Petrolero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, The Strongest has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 19:46. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oriente Petrolero won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Oriente Petrolero won against The Strongest?
Oriente Petrolero has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has The Strongest won against Oriente Petrolero?
The Strongest has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oriente Petrolero - The Strongest were as follows:
16.12.2024
The Strongest
-
Oriente Petrolero
6:2
26.05.2024
Oriente Petrolero
-
The Strongest
0:1
08.10.2023
Oriente Petrolero
-
The Strongest
1:1
22.04.2023
The Strongest
-
Oriente Petrolero
0:0
08.09.2022
The Strongest
-
Oriente Petrolero
2:1
Latest results of Oriente Petrolero
Latest results of The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | The Strongest | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 51:30 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 40 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 43:21 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | Blooming | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 36:28 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Guabira | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 20 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:32 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:31 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14:40 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 | Aurora | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
