Result
2:3
26/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 6', 1 - 0, Tanaka S. ⚽, Kawata A. (A),
- 10', 1 - 1, Endo M. ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, Tanaka T. ⚽, Kawamura K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', Fujimura K. ↓, Gaudencio ↑,
- 57', Kondo Y. ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
- 63', Adachi S. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
- 63', Kawata A. ↓, Takazawa Y. ↑,
- 66', Endo M. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
- 66', Tanaka T. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 2, Kazama K. ⚽, Takazawa Y. (A),
- 74', Tanaka S. ↓, Konishi H. ↑,
- 74', Ohata R. ↓, Nose S. ↑,
- 78', Kawamura K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 3, Fukuda M. ⚽,
- 88', Nishimura Y. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
- 90+2', Rodrigo Angelotti 🟨,
Chances of winning
Thespakusatsu Gunma
28.1% | Draw
27.4% | Kagoshima United
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thespakusatsu Gunma's form might have worsened.Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kagoshima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.25 ↑
(2.7) |
3.33 ↓
(3.39) |
2.06 ↓
(2.35) |
9.5%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kagoshima United (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Kagoshima United might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Thespakusatsu Gunma won against Kagoshima United?
Thespakusatsu Gunma has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kagoshima United won against Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Kagoshima United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United were as follows:
08.03.2025
Kagoshima United
-
Thespakusatsu Gunma
5:2
13.07.2024
Kagoshima United
-
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:1
25.02.2024
Thespakusatsu Gunma
-
Kagoshima United
1:1
Latest results of Thespakusatsu Gunma
Latest results of Kagoshima United
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 34:17 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 54:28 | 26 | 51 |
| 3 | Tochigi City | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 44:30 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38:30 | 8 | 47 |
| 5 | Osaka | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 37:23 | 14 | 45 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 44 |
| 7 | Tochigi SC | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 26:26 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Fukushima Utd | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 47:54 | -7 | 38 |
| 9 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 27:27 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Sagamihara | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 36 |
| 11 | Kanazawa | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Yamaga | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 30:31 | -1 | 35 |
| 13 | Gainare Tottori | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Ryukyu | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
| 15 | Kochi United | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 35:47 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Gifu | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32:39 | -7 | 29 |
| 17 | Kusatsu | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 36:42 | -6 | 27 |
| 18 | Nagano | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20:36 | -16 | 26 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 31:40 | -9 | 25 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:40 | -11 | 18 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
