Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Kagoshima United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J3 League Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United
Result
2:3
26/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J3 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
59
Corner Kicks
88
Yellow Cards
01
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
59
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
88
Goalkeeper Saves
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Tanaka S. , Kawata A. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Endo M. ,
  • 44', 1 - 2, Tanaka T. , Kawamura K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', Fujimura K. , Gaudencio ,
  • 57', Kondo Y. , Rodrigo Angelotti ,
  • 63', Adachi S. , Kazama K. ,
  • 63', Kawata A. , Takazawa Y. ,
  • 66', Endo M. , Fukuda M. ,
  • 66', Tanaka T. , Yoshio K. ,
  • 69', 2 - 2, Kazama K. , Takazawa Y. (A),
  • 74', Tanaka S. , Konishi H. ,
  • 74', Ohata R. , Nose S. ,
  • 78', Kawamura K. , Yonezawa R. ,
  • 83', 2 - 3, Fukuda M. ,
  • 88', Nishimura Y. , Aoki S. ,
  • 90+2', Rodrigo Angelotti 🟨,

Chances of winning


Thespakusatsu Gunma
28.1%
Draw
27.4%
Kagoshima United
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34% 27.1% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34% 27.1% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thespakusatsu Gunma's form might have worsened.
  • Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kagoshima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (2.7)
    3.33
    (3.39)
    2.06
    (2.35)
    9.5%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Kagoshima United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Kagoshima United might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United were as follows:
    08.03.2025 Kagoshima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma 5:2
    13.07.2024 Kagoshima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma 1:1
    25.02.2024 Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United 1:1
    Latest results of Kagoshima United
    Japan J3 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vanraure30196537:172063
    2Tochigi City30186651:312060
    3Kagoshima Utd30159656:322454
    4Tegevajaro Miyazaki30158747:351253
    5Osaka30157841:281352
    6Nara Club30139841:33848
    7Giravanz Kitakyushu301341331:29243
    8Tochigi SC301271131:29243
    9Kanazawa291251236:35141
    10Fukushima Utd301181149:59-1041
    11Gifu301081238:42-438
    12Sagamihara309101129:40-1137
    13Yamaga29991131:33-236
    14Gainare Tottori301061429:34-536
    15Ryukyu30971431:40-934
    16Kochi United30971437:51-1434
    17Nagano30781526:42-1629
    18Kusatsu306101439:48-928
    19Kamatamare30771635:47-1228
    20Azul Claro Numazu30591632:42-1024

          Promotion ~ J2 League
          Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          J3 League (Relegation)
          Relegation