Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Omiya Ardija – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Thespakusatsu Gunma - Omiya Ardija
Result
2:0
09/07/2023 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Chances of winning


Thespakusatsu Gunma
33.5%
Draw
28.8%
Omiya Ardija
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 27.4% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7% 24.1% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thespakusatsu Gunma's form might have worsened.
  • Omiya Ardija has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Omiya Ardija's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Thespakusatsu Gunma - Omiya Ardija Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (1.86)
    3.2
    (3.3)
    2.47
    (3.76)
    8.2%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma - Omiya Ardija?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Omiya will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Thespakusatsu: 19.1%73.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 2.
    • Recent matches Thespakusatsu is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Omiya is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Omiya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Thespakusatsu Gunma - Omiya Ardija were as follows:
    12.04.2023 Omiya Ardija - Thespakusatsu Gunma 0:1
    01.10.2022 Thespakusatsu Gunma - Omiya Ardija 1:0
    Latest results of Thespakusatsu Gunma
    Latest results of Omiya Ardija
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito341810651:302164
    2V-Varen Nagasaki341712556:411563
    3Chiba34178944:311359
    4Vegalta Sendai341513643:321158
    5Tokushima34169938:211757
    6Omiya Ardija34169950:341657
    7Sagan Tosu341681044:38656
    8Iwata341661252:47554
    9Iwaki3413101151:411049
    10Imabari341213941:36549
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo341441641:56-1546
    12Montedio Yamagata341271550:49143
    13Kofu3411101336:39-343
    14Blaublitz341091540:50-1039
    15Oita Trinita348141225:36-1138
    16Fujieda MYFC349101538:44-637
    17Kumamoto34981740:53-1335
    18Renofa Yamaguchi345141531:43-1229
    19Toyama34691925:46-2127
    20Ehime343112033:62-2920

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