Result
1:1
27/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J3 League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 66', Tokunaga Y. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
- 67', Nishikubo S. ↓, Miki K. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Sugimoto R. ⚽,
- 74', Fukui K. ↓, Takagi A. ↑,
- 74', Kato T. ↓, Takai K. ↑,
- 74', Nishimura Y. ↓, Yamaguchi K. ↑,
- 75', Adachi S. ↓, Fujimura R. ↑,
- 75', Sehata G. ↓, Yamauchi R. ↑,
- 78', Fujimura R. 🟥,
- 79', Tanaka S. ↓, Konishi H. ↑,
- 83', Nakayama R. ↓, Nakashio D. ↑,
- 83', Shimokawa T. ↓, Kotake S. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Yamaguchi K. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Thespakusatsu Gunma
50.1% | Draw
26.1% | Sagamihara
23.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Thespakusatsu Gunma's performance.Sagamihara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sagamihara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thespakusatsu Gunma that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sagamihara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↓
(2.3) |
3.65 ↑
(3.35) |
4.01 ↑
(2.68) |
4.9%
(10.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Thespakusatsu will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sagamihara will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Thespakusatsu (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 and 11).
- Thespakusatsu is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Sagamihara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Thespakusatsu has had a series of away games.
- Thespakusatsu could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Thespakusatsu won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Thespakusatsu Gunma won against Sagamihara?
Thespakusatsu Gunma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagamihara won against Thespakusatsu Gunma?
Sagamihara has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara were as follows:
13.04.2025
Sagamihara
-
Thespakusatsu Gunma
1:1
06.03.2024
Thespakusatsu Gunma
-
Sagamihara
4:1
Latest results of Thespakusatsu Gunma
Latest results of Sagamihara
Japan J3 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vanraure | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 37:17 | 20 | 63 |
| 2 | Tochigi City | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 51:31 | 20 | 60 |
| 3 | Kagoshima Utd | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 47:35 | 12 | 53 |
| 5 | Osaka | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 41:28 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Nara Club | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 41:33 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 30 | 13 | 4 | 13 | 31:29 | 2 | 43 |
| 8 | Tochigi SC | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 31:29 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Kanazawa | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 36:35 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Fukushima Utd | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 49:59 | -10 | 41 |
| 11 | Gifu | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 38:42 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Sagamihara | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 29:40 | -11 | 37 |
| 13 | Yamaga | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 31:33 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | Gainare Tottori | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 29:34 | -5 | 36 |
| 15 | Ryukyu | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:40 | -9 | 34 |
| 16 | Kochi United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 37:51 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Nagano | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 26:42 | -16 | 29 |
| 18 | Kusatsu | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 28 |
| 19 | Kamatamare | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 35:47 | -12 | 28 |
| 20 | Azul Claro Numazu | 30 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 32:42 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ J2 League
Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
J3 League (Relegation)
Relegation
