Thespakusatsu Gunma vs V-Varen Nagasaki – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football YBC Levain Cup Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki
Result
1:4 ET
26/03/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanFuji TV Next

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Kikuchi K. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Onozeki T. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 57', Saito R. , Masuyama A. ,
  • 57', Emerson Deocleciano , Marcos Guilherme ,
  • 63', Yamasaki R. 🟨,
  • 65', Masuyama A. 🟨,
  • 70', Yamasaki R. (Pen),
  • 71', Aoki S. , Yamada R. ,
  • 73', Funabashi Y. , Nakano R. ,
  • 73', Konishi H. , Tagashira R. ,
  • 77', Sawada T. , Diop S. ,
  • 84', 1 - 1, Marcos Guilherme ,
  • 86', Onozeki T. , Aoki S. ,
  • 86', Shimokawa T. , Adachi S. ,
  • 90+1', Kikuchi K. , Fujimura R. ,
  • 90+1', Yamanaka A. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 3)
  • 91', Tamashiro T. , Kagami T. ,
  • 91', Nagura T. , Nanamure A. ,
  • 97', 1 - 2, Nose S. (Own goal),
  • 98', Nose S. , Takahashi Y. ,
  • 105', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
  • 109', 1 - 3, Masuyama A. ,
  • 112', 1 - 4, Marcos Guilherme ,
  • 117', Matsumoto T. , Nishimura R. ,
  • 117', Yamasaki R. , Tadokoro R. ,

Chances of winning


Thespakusatsu Gunma
18.6%
Draw
25.3%
V-Varen Nagasaki
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
17.7% 26.6% 55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 25.7% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.9
    (5.21)
    3.7
    (3.48)
    1.65
    (1.66)
    8.2%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki?
  • Users Predictions: V-Varen Nagasaki will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 1.
    • Recent matches Thespakusatsu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • V-Varen Nagasaki is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match V-Varen Nagasaki is a favorite.
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 17:40 (average 0.9:2.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki were as follows:
    22.09.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma 2:0
    27.04.2024 Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2
    09.09.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma 2:1
    08.04.2023 Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:0
    Latest results of Thespakusatsu Gunma
    Latest results of V-Varen Nagasaki
    Draw
    First stage

    1/64-finals
    1VanraureAlbirex Niigata1 : 2
    2YamagaSagan Tosu1 : 0
    3NaganoVerdy0 : 1
    4EhimeBlaublitz0 : 2
    5Tochigi CityKashima Antlers0 : 1
    6Oita TrinitaRenofa Yamaguchi2 : 3
    7Azul Claro NumazuKashiwa Reysol0 : 1
    8Fukushima UtdHokkaido Consadole Sapporo6 : 3
    9KanazawaShonan Bellmare0 : 1
    10KusatsuV-Varen Nagasaki1 : 4
    11Nara ClubFC Tokyo0 : 1
    12Omiya ArdijaIwaki4 : 3
    13SagamiharaShimizu S-Pulse1 : 3
    14OsakaIwata1 : 2
    15Kochi UnitedGamba Osaka1 : 2
    16MitoKumamoto1 : 0
    17Gainare TottoriKyoto0 : 2
    18Kagoshima UtdMontedio Yamagata0 : 2
    19KamatamareCerezo Osaka1 : 5
    20ImabariTokushima2 : 1
    21GifuYokohama FC0 : 2
    22Giravanz KitakyushuOkayama1 : 0
    23KofuFujieda MYFC2 : 1
    24ByeMachida
    25Tegevajaro MiyazakiNagoya Grampus0 : 3
    26ToyamaChiba4 : 2
    27RyukyuAvispa Fukuoka0 : 2
    28Tochigi SCVegalta Sendai1 : 0
    32ByeSanfrecce Hiroshima

    1/32-finals
    1Albirex NiigataYamaga2 : 0
    2VerdyBlaublitz2 : 1
    3Kashima AntlersRenofa Yamaguchi1 : 2
    4Kashiwa ReysolFukushima Utd3 : 2
    5Shonan BellmareV-Varen Nagasaki2 : 1
    6FC TokyoOmiya Ardija3 : 1
    7Shimizu S-PulseIwata1 : 2
    8Gamba OsakaMito1 : 0
    9KyotoMontedio Yamagata1 : 0
    10Cerezo OsakaImabari4 : 3
    11Yokohama FCGiravanz Kitakyushu2 : 1
    12KofuMachida0 : 1
    13Nagoya GrampusToyama1 : 2
    14Avispa FukuokaTochigi SC2 : 1
    16ByeSanfrecce Hiroshima

    1/16-finals
    1Albirex NiigataVerdy0 : 2
    2Renofa YamaguchiKashiwa Reysol0 : 2
    3Shonan BellmareFC Tokyo1 : 0
    4IwataGamba Osaka2 : 1
    5KyotoCerezo Osaka1 : 4
    6Yokohama FCMachida2 : 1
    7ToyamaAvispa Fukuoka1 : 2
    8ByeSanfrecce Hiroshima

    1/8-finals
    1VerdyKashiwa Reysol1 : 2, 0 : 3
    2Shonan BellmareIwata0 : 1, 2 : 0
    3Cerezo OsakaYokohama FC0 : 4, 4 : 1
    4Avispa FukuokaSanfrecce Hiroshima1 : 3, 1 : 0