Thiago Augustin Tirante vs Roberto Carballes Baena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Bastad Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roberto Carballes Baena
Result
2:1
19/07/2024 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad (Sweden), clay - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 2
germanyGermanySky Sport Tennis
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport 3
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 4

Match Stats

Aces
81
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
70%84%
1st Serve Points Won
71% (44/62)63% (45/72)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (13/27)57% (8/14)
Break Points Saved
43% (3/7)64% (7/11)
1st Return Points Won
39% (28/72)29% (18/62)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (6/14)52% (14/27)
Break Points Converted
36% (4/11)57% (4/7)
Winners
2814
Unforced Errors
2322
Net Points Won
58% (14/24)59% (13/22)
Max Points In Row
67
Service Points Won
63% (55/87)60% (52/86)
Return Points Won
40% (34/86)37% (32/87)
Total Points Won
51% (89/173)49% (84/173)
Max Games In Row
55
Service Games Won
73% (11/15)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)27% (4/15)
Total Games Won
52% (15/29)48% (14/29)

Chances of winning


Thiago Augustin Tirante
33.5%
Roberto Carballes Baena
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 59.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thiago Augustin Tirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thiago Augustin Tirante's form might have worsened.
  • Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roberto Carballes Baena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.3)

    1.44
    (1.61)
    4.5%
    (5.6%)
    What is the prediction for Thiago Augustin Tirante - Roberto Carballes Baena?
  • Users Predictions: Roberto Carballes Baena will win (24 of 29 users predict this - 82.76%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.01%96.51%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Tirante is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Carballes Baena in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Tirante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Carballes Baena is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Carballes Baena to win the game is with odds 1.4.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.0 : 2
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)0 : 2
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.2 : 1
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.2 : 0
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.2 : 1
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H. (RET.)1 : 0
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.2 : 1
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Gaston H.Dzumhur D. (7)1 : 2
    3Baez S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    4Ymer E.Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    6Misolic F.Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    7Kopriva V. (8)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Griekspoor T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dzumhur D. (7)2 : 1
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)De Jong J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Darderi L. (6)De Jong J.2 : 1