Result
2:0
14/04/2026 at 16:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 66% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 66% (19/29) | 38% (11/29) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 33% (5/15) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 6/7 | 5/11 |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 41% (12/29) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 36% (8/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 6/11 | 1/7 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/0) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (33/51) | 36% (16/44) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (28/44) | 35% (18/51) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (61/95) | 36% (34/95) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 14% (1/7) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 14% (1/7) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 86% (12/14) | 14% (2/14) |
Chances of winning
Valerio Aboian
74.9% | Thiago Cigarran
25.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Valerio Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valerio Aboian's performance.Thiago Cigarran has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thiago Cigarran might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valerio Aboian than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valerio Aboian that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thiago Cigarran than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thiago Cigarran could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Valerio Aboian - Thiago Cigarran Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.35) |
|
3.71 ↑
(2.9) |
7.4%
(8.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Valerio Aboian - Thiago Cigarran?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aboian (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Aboian is ranked ATP: 534. Cigarran is ranked ATP: 831.
- Both players are struggling and far from their best.
- Aboian may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aboian won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Valerio Aboian won against Thiago Cigarran?
Valerio Aboian has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thiago Cigarran won against Valerio Aboian?
Thiago Cigarran has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Valerio Aboian - Thiago Cigarran were as follows:
04.12.2025
Valerio Aboian
-
Thiago Cigarran
0:2
15.03.2025
Thiago Cigarran
-
Valerio Aboian
1:2
Latest results of Valerio Aboian
Latest results of Thiago Cigarran
