Thiago Monteiro vs Daniel Merida Aguilar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bad Waltersdorf Challenger Men Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Merida Aguilar
Result
2:0
15/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bad Waltersdorf, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
41
Double Faults
22
1st Serve Percentage
64%51%
1st Serve Points Won
93% (28/30)55% (12/22)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (8/17)57% (12/21)
Break Points Saved
100% (4/4)33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
55% (12/22)20% (6/30)
2nd Return Points Won
43% (9/21)53% (9/17)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)0% (0/4)
Service Points Won
76% (35/46)51% (22/43)
Return Points Won
49% (21/43)24% (11/46)
Total Points Won
63% (56/89)37% (33/89)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (8/8)50% (4/8)
Return Games Won
50% (4/8)0% (0/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Thiago Monteiro
52.2%
Daniel Merida Aguilar
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 51.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Daniel Merida Aguilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Daniel Merida Aguilar than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Thiago Monteiro - Daniel Merida Aguilar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (1.83)

    1.95
    (1.83)
    7.9%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Monteiro is ranked ATP: 169. Merida Aguilar is ranked ATP: 166.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Merida Aguilar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Thiago Monteiro
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Martinez P. (RET.) (1)Topo M. (Q)0 : 1
    2Choinski J.Sachko V.2 : 0
    3Pavlovic L.Paroulek T. (Q)2 : 1
    4Passaro F.Lajovic D. (6)2 : 1
    5Tirante T. A. (4)Piraino G. (LL)1 : 2
    6Dodig M. (Alt)Kolar Z. (Q)0 : 2
    7Monteiro T.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    8Gaubas V.Burruchaga R. A. (8)0 : 2
    9Galan D. E. (7)Diaz Acosta F. (Alt)0 : 2
    10Moeller M. (LL)Barton H. (Q)1 : 2
    11Ymer E. (Alt)Kopp S. (WC)0 : 2
    12Novak D. (Q)Carballes Baena R. (3)0 : 2
    13Carreno-Busta P. (5)Neumayer L.2 : 1
    14Sorger S. (WC)Kovalik J. (Q)2 : 1
    15Stebe C. (LL)Schwaerzler J. J. (WC)0 : 2
    16Seyboth Wild T.Kopriva V. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Topo M.Choinski J.1 : 2
    2Pavlovic L.Passaro F.0 : 2
    3Piraino G.Kolar Z.1 : 2
    4Monteiro T.Burruchaga R. A. (8)1 : 2
    5Diaz Acosta F.Barton H.1 : 2
    6Kopp S.Carballes Baena R. (3)1 : 2
    7Carreno-Busta P. (5)Sorger S.2 : 0
    8Schwaerzler J. J.Kopriva V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Choinski J.Passaro F.2 : 0
    2Kolar Z.Burruchaga R. A. (8)2 : 0
    3Barton H.Carballes Baena R. (3)0 : 2
    4Carreno-Busta P. (5)Kopriva V. (2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Choinski J.Kolar Z.2 : 0
    2Carballes Baena R. (3)Kopriva V. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Choinski J.Kopriva V. (2)2 : 0